Broncos vs. Dolphins Total Pick
According to oddsmakers at Bovada.lv, Denver is favored on the road in this game, as the Broncos are getting odds of -1.5 points against the Dolphins. The over/under total for the contest has been set at 39.5 points. Denver has won two straight meetings with the Dolphins and the two have hit the under in two of their last three encounters. The public betting in this game has Miami getting 57 percent of the wagers at home. Sunday’s contest will take place from Hard Rock Stadium in Miami, Florida and will air live on FOX.
Denver is on a 7-game losing streak following a 21-14 loss at Oakland last week. The Broncos are now 3-8 on the season while posting a 6-5 record with the over. Denver has hit the under in their last two games. The Broncos are putting up just 17.9 points and 340.5 yards per game this season. Paxton Lynch suffered an ankle injury last week that will keep him out and Trevor Siemian returns to the starting QB role. He has thrown for 1,818 yards this season with 11 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. C.J. Anderson is the leading rusher with 585 yards and two scores while Demaryius Thomas has 58 catches for 651 yards and three scores. Defensively, Denver is allowing just 300 yards per game, but giving up 25.5 points per contest. Aqib Talib, their top corner, is suspended for this game due to his fight with Michael Crabtree last weekend.
Miami is coming off a 35-17 loss at New England last Sunday for its fifth straight loss. The Dolphins are now 4-7 on the season while also going 6-5 with the over. They have actually hit the over in six straight games. Miami is putting up just 15.8 points and 303.1 yards per game this season. Jay Cutler is dealing with a concussion but expected to start if he clears protocol. He has thrown for 1,602 yards and 13 touchdowns this year, but also has nine interceptions. Jarvis Landry is the leading receiver with 75 catches for 637 yards and six touchdowns while Kenyan Drake has emerged as the new lead back. He has 200 yards on 42 carries with one score. Defensively, Miami is giving up 26.3 points and 356.2 yards per game. Cameron Wake is leading the team with 29 tackles and eight sacks.
It’s hard to say what will win out in this game, the struggling Miami defense against a bad Denver offense, or an awful Miami offense against a still respectable Denver defense. It won’t take too many big plays for these two to get to 40 points. I could see some defensive scores in this one due to turnover-prone QB’s. Miami’s defense has just struggled lately and given up big points which then allows the opposing defense to get relaxed and allow some garbage scores.
NFL WEEK 13 PREDICTION: BRONCOS/DOLPHINS OVER 39.5