Bills vs. Chiefs Pick
According to oddsmakers at Bovada.lv, Kansas City is favored at home, as the Chiefs are getting odds of -9 points against the Bills. The over/under total for the contest has been set at 46.5 points. Kansas City has won three straight meetings with the Bills, covering the spread in each of the wins. The public betting in this game has Buffalo getting 53 percent of the wagers on the road. Today’s game takes place from Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri and will air live on CBS.
Buffalo is coming off a 54-24 loss at the Chargers on Sunday for their third straight loss to fall to 5-5 on the season. Buffalo is 5-4-1 against the spread this season, failing to cover in their last three games. The Bills have struggled on offense, averaging just 20.8 points and 316.4 yards per game this season. Tyrod Taylor is back as the starting QB after being replaced for one half by Nathan Peterman, who threw five interceptions last week in his limited time on the field. Taylor has thrown for 1,842 yards and 11 touchdowns this year while also rushing for 275 yards and three scores. LeSean McCoy is adding 709 rushing yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Buffalo is allowing 25 points and 374.8 yards per contest.
Kansas City is coming off a 12-9 OT loss to the Giants on the road for their fourth loss in five games. KC is now 6-4 on the season while posting a 6-4 mark against the spread. The Chiefs have failed to cover in four of their last five games. After starting the season strong, KC is now giving up 22 points and 393.1 yards per game. Offensively, the Chiefs are putting up 26.2 points and 385.8 yards per game. Alex Smith has thrown for 2,674 yards and 18 touchdowns to lead the team while Kareen Hunt has run for 873 yards and four touchdowns. Travis Kelce is the leading receiver with 59 catches for 738 yards and five touchdowns.
Kansas City is a team I expect to bounce back this week after a horrible showing last weekend. The Chiefs are 6-2 against the spread in their last 8 games after a loss and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous contest. The Bills are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven on the road and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
NFL WEEK 12 PREDICTION: KANSAS CITY CHIEFS -9