Packers vs. Vikings Prediction
Which struggling NFC North team will get back in the playoff mix tonight when the Minnesota Vikings play host to the Green Bay Packers at 8:20PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
271 Green Bay Packers at 272 Minnesota Vikings
Sunday, November 25, 2018
8:20PM ET – U.S. Bank Stadium
Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers at BetNow.eu, the Vikings are the slim favorite at home, as they are getting odds of -3 points against the Packers. The over/under total for the contest is currently listed at 47.5 points. The public betting for this game currently has 67 percent going on the Packers on the road.
Vikings losing grip in NFC North
Minnesota played last Sunday night as well, falling 25-20 to Chicago in a big NFC North contest. The Vikings have lost two of their last three games. They are now 5-4-1 on the season, 5-4-1 against the spread and 5-5 with the over/under total. They are just 1-2 ATS in their las three as well.
Minnesota is still a pretty good defensive team this year, allowing just 22.9 points and 320.8 yards per game. The unit has 32 sacks with 17 forced turnovers. Danielle Hunter has 11.5 sacks this year to lead the defense. Offensively, Minnesota is averaging 24.1 points and 363.7 yards per game. Their run offense ranks 31st in the NFL with just 84.7 yards per game. Dalvin Cook has returned recently and has 199 yards rushing on the year. Kirk Cousins is leading the offense with 2,947 yards and 19 touchdowns while Adam Thielen has 85 catches for 1,013 yards and seven touchdowns. Thielen is dealing with a calf injury, but is expected to play this evening.
Packers struggling on the road
The Packers suffered a 27-24 loss at Seattle last week for their fifth straight loss on the road. Green Bay is now 4-5-1 overall, 4-5-1 against the spread and 6-4 with the over. They are 2-1-1 against the spread in their last four games.
Green Bay is middle of the road on both offense and defense this year. Defensively, the team is giving up 24.3 points and 349.1 yards per game. Their run defense ranks 26th in the league, allowing 126.1 yards per game. Offensively, the Packers put up 24.7 points and 398.8 yards per game. Aaron Rodgers has thrown for 3,073 yards and 19 touchdowns with just one interception. However, he has been sacked 30 times. Davante Adams has caught 72 passes for 953 yards and nine touchdowns while Aaron Jones has 534 rushing yards and five scores.
NFL Betting Trends
The Vikings are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 Week-12 games and 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 against a losing team.
The Packers are 1-5-1 against the spread in their last seven road games and 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 conference games.
I am a big Aaron Rodgers fan, but the Packers have been unable to figure things out on the road this year and I can’t trust them to get it done tonight. Minnesota needs the win just as much as the Packers. They have lost two of their last three, but the losses were to the Saints and the Bears. The Packers are not playing to the level of either of those teams right now. I expect Minnesota’s defense to give the Green Bay front a lot of problems and the Packers defense to get overwhelmed by Cousins and the Vikings passing game.
NFL Prediction: Minnesota Vikings -3