Patriots vs. Vikings Thanksgiving Pick

Patriots vs. Vikings, 11/24/22 NFL Betting Prediction, Odds & Trends

The NFL’s Thanksgiving Day triple header will conclude in Minneapolis, MN on Thursday night where the Vikings will host the Patriots at 8:20 p.m. ET. With the Vikings laying 2.5 points as a home favorite and the total sitting at 42.5, what’s the wise play for this Week 12 NFL matchup?

Game Matchup & Betting Odds

109 New England Patriots (+2.5) at 110 Minnesota Vikings (-2.5); o/u 42.5

8:20 p.m. ET, Thursday, November 24, 2022

U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN

Patriots vs. Vikings Public Betting Information

Our NFL Public Betting Information page indicates that 55% of public bettors are currently backing the Vikings when it comes to the spread. This information is subject to change throughout the day, however, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.

New England Patriots DFS Spin

Mac Jones completed 23-of-27 attempts for 246 yards in the Patriots' 10-3, Week 11 win over the Jets. Jones wasn't nearly as ineffective as Zach Wilson, who threw for just 77 yards, but he still managed to lead the Patriots to just three offensive points. A punt return provided the Patriots with their only TD of the day. Jones will need to step up his game against the Vikings on Thanksgiving. Fortunately, the Vikings' defense isn't nearly as imposing as the Jets'.

Minnesota Vikings DFS Spin

Kirk Cousins completed 12-of-23 passes for 105 yards in the Vikings' Week 11 game against the Cowboys. Cousins took an early seat in the fourth quarter with the Vikings getting humiliated 40-3 at home. Before departing, Cousins had absorbed seven sacks and lost a fumble, setting up the Cowboys' first score of the game. Micah Parsons and company were living in Cousins' kitchen after LT Christian Darrisaw departed with an early concussion. With Darrisaw now all but guaranteed to miss the Vikings' short-week, Thanksgiving game against the Patriots, Cousins will more than likely be in misery vs. Bill Belichick's defense. With all 32 teams active for Week 12, Cousins will probably find himself outside the top 12 at quarterback. 

Patriots vs. Vikings Betting Trends

Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings

Under is 7-2 in Patriots last 9 games in November

Over is 7-2 in Vikings last 9 home games

Over is 20-7 in Vikings last 27 games following a ATS loss

Patriots vs. Vikings Prediction:

The Patriots covered in all four of the last four meetings between these two teams and are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games overall. They’re also 7-0 against the number in their last seven games in November, are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games played on Thursday and are 42-17 at the betting window in their last 59 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous contest. On the other side, the Vikings are 4-9 against the spread in their last 13 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game and are 1-3-1 at the betting window in their last five games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous contest.

NFL WEEK 12 PREDICTION: NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS +2.5

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