Bills vs. Chiefs Total Pick
According to oddsmakers at Bovada.lv, Kansas City is favored at home, as the Chiefs are getting odds of -10 points against the Bills. The over/under total for the contest has been set at 46.5 points. Kansas City has won three straight meetings with the Bills, while the two have hit the under in two of their last three meetings. The public betting in this game has Buffalo getting 56 percent of the wagers on the road. Sunday’s game takes place from Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri and will air live on CBS.
Buffalo is coming off a 54-24 loss at the Chargers on Sunday for their third straight loss to fall to 5-5 on the season. Buffalo is 6-4 with the over, hitting it in their last five games. The Bills have struggled on offense, averaging just 20.8 points and 316.4 yards per game this season. Tyrod Taylor is back as the starting QB after being replaced for one half by Nathan Peterman, who threw five interceptions. Taylor has thrown for 1,842 yards and 11 touchdowns this year while also rushing for 275 yards and three scores. LeSean McCoy is adding 709 rushing yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Buffalo is allowing 25 points and 374.8 yards per contest.
Kansas City is coming off a 12-9 loss to the Giants on the road for their fourth loss in five games. KC is now 6-4 on the season while posting a 6-4 mark with the over as well. The Chiefs have hit the under in their last two games. After starting the season strong, KC is now giving up 22 points and 393.1 yards per game. Offensively, the Chiefs are putting up 26.2 points and 385.8 yards per game. Alex Smith has thrown for 2,674 yards and 18 touchdowns to lead the team while Kareen Hunt has run for 873 yards and four touchdowns. Travis Kelce is the leading receiver with 59 catches for 738 yards and five touchdowns.
Both of these offenses are struggling right now and these two have hit the under in 10 of their last 14 meetings. The Chiefs are also 40-19 with the under in their last 59 home games. KC should be able to lock in on defense against the Bills while Buffalo will be able to build on a rather average offense that is in a funk. I think this game ends up being a defensive battle.
NFL WEEK 12 PREDICTION: BILLS/CHIEFS UNDER 46.5