Colts vs. Falcons Free Pick

NFL Week 11 Colts vs. Falcons Picks & Predictions

In what should be a high-scoring game, the Atlanta Falcons will host an Andrew Luck-less Indianapolis Colts team today at 1:00PM ET.

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The Odds

According to oddsmakers from online sports book Mybookie.ag, the Falcons opened as a 6-point favorite but they're now -5 against the Colts today. As for the total, it opened at 47.5 and that's where the number currently sits.

The Records

Indianapolis enters play with a 4-5 record and is 4-5 against the spread, which includes a 2-2 ATS record on the road. Atlanta, meanwhile, is 6-3 straight up but just 4-5 against the spread. The Falcons haven't covered a point spread in five straight games.

The Pick

After getting off to a red-hot start, the Falcons have struggled offensively over their last four games. Either they move the ball efficiently and turn the ball over, or move the ball efficiently and settle for field goals. But they went into the bye week knowing they needed to make adjustments on offense and we should see a more productive team today. Matt Ryan, Julio Jones and Devonta Freeman are too good to continue to be held in check. Look for today to be a shootout at the Georgia Dome, even though Matt Hasselbeck will make the start for the injured Luck.

NFL WEEK 11 FREE PICK: COLTS/FALCONS OVER 47.5

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