Chargers vs. Cowboys Total Pick
Will the Los Angeles Chargers and Dallas Cowboys combine for enough points to push the score over the betting total when the two teams meet at 4:30 p.m. ET on Thanksgiving Day?
Matchup: Chargers (4-6) at Cowboys (5-5)
TV: CBS, 4:30 p.m. ET
ODDS: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the over/under currently sits at 48 points after hitting the board at 47.5. As for the point spread, Dallas opened as a 4-point home favorite but the line has dropped to a pick'em.
PUBLIC BETTING: As of this writing, 51% of tickets are on the Chargers to beat the Cowboys.
KEY TRENDS: The road team has covered in four of the last five meetings between these two teams while the over has hit in four of the last five meetings.
OUR PREDICTION: Despite the fact that the over has cashed in four of the last five meetings between these two teams, I still like the under. The under is 4-1 in the Chargers' last five games overall, is 6-2 in their last eight road games, and is 6-1 in their last seven games coming off a win of more than 14 points.
The under is 4-1 in the Cowboys' last five games in November, is 8-2 in their last 10 games coming off a double-digit loss at home, and is 15-7 in their last 22 games coming off an ATS loss. Without Ezekiel Elliott and Tyron Smith, the Cowboys have done nothing offensively the past two weeks. They won't fare much better on Thursday against the Bolts' defense.
NFL WEEK 12 OVER/UNDER PREDICTION: CHARGERS/COWBOYS UNDER 48