Redskins vs. Cowboys Total Prediction
First place in the NFC East is up for grabs on Thanksgiving Day afternoon when the Dallas Cowboys host the Washington Redskins at 4:30 p.m. ET on Thursday. Will the final score stay under the betting total?
107 Washington Redskins at 108 Dallas Cowboys
4:30 p.m. ET, Thursday, November 22
AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas
Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetNow.eu, the Cowboys are 7.5-point favorites to beat the Redskins. The total, meanwhile, sits at 40.5 points. As of this writing, 55% of the public betting tickets are on the Redskins to cover the point spread.
Colt McCoy completed 6-of-12 passes for 54 yards and a touchdown and rushed five times for 35 yards in Washington's Week 11 loss to Houston. McCoy connected with Jordan Reed for a nine-yard touchdown on his first throw of the game, replacing Alex Smith (broken leg) early in the third quarter. Otherwise, McCoy was a scrambling pea-shooter passer who didn't show an ability to stretch the field, something McCoy has never done at the NFL level. McCoy will close out the season as a two-quarterback-league option.
Dak Prescott completed 22-of-32 passes for 208 scoreless yards in the Cowboys' Week 11 win over the Falcons, adding a four-yard rushing touchdown. After not scoring a rushing touchdown the first five weeks, Prescott has four of them over the last five games. His four-yard scamper was the first touchdown of the afternoon. Ezekiel Elliott later added a 23-yarder and led the Cowboys with a 7-79 receiving line en route to 201 total yards. Prescott gets the Redskins on Thanksgiving. In Week 7, Prescott had 306 total yards and two scores in a road loss against Washington. He'll be a borderline QB1 play.
NFL Betting Trends
The under is 6-1 in the Redskins’ last seven games coming off a loss.
The under is a perfect 9-0 in the Cowboys’ last nine games following a win.
Both of these teams need to run the ball effectively to win games. That especially applies to the Redskins following the season-ending injury to Alex Smith. When McCoy took over on Sunday, Jay Gruden called several pass plays that allowed the backup signal-caller to get the ball out of his hands quickly (or use his legs to pick up first downs). Short pass plays are safe but they limit your ability to throw deep as it requires deeper drops to allow longer routes to develop. All of this leads me to taking the under. These two teams know each other well and with the clock expected to run constantly, I see this score falling under.
NFL Week 12 Prediction: Redskins/Cowboys under 40.5