Patriots vs. Falcons TNF Prediction
A rematch of Super Bowl 51 will take place in Atlanta on Thursday night when the Falcons host the Patriots at 8:20 p.m. ET. With New England laying 6.5 points as a road favorite and the total sitting at 47, how will this Week 11 matchup play out from a betting standpoint?
311 New England Patriots (-6.5) at 312 Atlanta Falcons (+6.5); o/u 47
8:20 p.m. ET, Thursday, November 18, 2021
Mercedes Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
TV: FOX/NFL Network
New England Patriots DFS Spin
Mac Jones completed 19-of-23 passes for 198 yards and three touchdowns in the Patriots' Week 10 win over the Browns. Jones diced the Browns for the first three-score game of his career. He also earned himself roughly a quarter's worth of rest to close out the game as Brian Hoyer mopped things up versus Cleveland. Hoyer tossed one score which went to Jakobie Myers. Jones was nearly flawless, taking just two sacks and throwing no interceptions. He also led a pair of drives that resulted in Rhamdonre Stevenson touchdowns. Had Cleveland been able to put more than seven points on the board, Jones could have posted a monstrous performance. He gets a cakewalk matchup with the Falcons next week making him a viable streaming option of the heels of this performance.
Atlanta Falcons DFS Spin
Matt Ryan completed 9-of-21 passes for 117 scoreless yards and two interceptions before being benched in the fourth quarter with the Falcons losing 43-3 to the Cowboys in Week 10. Josh Rosen entered the game and immediately threw an interception on his first pass. After engineering a 27-25 upset win over the Saints at the Superdome last week with 343 yards and two scores, Ryan completely laid an egg against Dallas. He was 5-of-12 for 66 yards and no picks in the first half before committing two turnovers after the break. Ryan just has no arm strength and can't drive the ball outside the numbers. He'll try to rebound next week at home against the Patriots.
Patriots vs. Falcons Betting Prediction
The Patriots are a perfect 6-0 against the spread in their last six games against the Falcons and are 4-0 against the number in their last four games in Atlanta. They’ve also covered four straight games, are 26-10 against the spread in their last 36 games against an opponent with a losing record and are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games played on Thursday. On the other side, the Falcons are 9-26 ATS in their last 35 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game and are coming off one of the worst performances of any team in Week 10.
NFL WEEK 9 BETTING PREDICTION: NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -6.5