Bills vs. Jets Week 10 Odds & Trends
A letdown wasn’t entirely unexpected last week against the Colts after the Jets stunned the Bengals, 34-31, the week before.
And so it was that the euphoria of their second win of the season quickly vanished when Indianapolis claimed a 45-30 victory on their home field. The Jets are now winless on the road this season but will receive the Bills at MetLife Stadium this week.
There were few bright spots in a loss that was even more lopsided than the score indicated. Mike White, the architect of the Jets’ huge win over the Bengals the week before, injured his arm and was sidelined for the remainder of the game.
The Jets’ run-stop unit employed the matador defense as Indy’s Jonathan Taylor must have heard, “ole’”, every time he carried the ball through a porous New York defensive line. Taylor ended with a whopping 172 yards and two touchdowns.
The backup’s backup, Josh Johnson, was New York’s lone bright spot as he tossed for 317 yards and three touchdowns while 11 Jets’ receivers all had catches.
"Josh, thought he did an awesome job coming in, running the offense exactly the way, it's supposed to be played — hitting the open receiver, just moving the chains," said head coach Robert Saleh. "We just need to be able to match their defensive intensity."
The Bills had issues with the Dolphins in Week 8 before they woke up in the fourth quarter and drew away to a 26-11 victory. Last week, that malaise clearly lingered as they were stunned by the lowly Jaguars in a 9-6 loss that nobody saw coming.
The big question is, who plays quarterback for the Jets this week? Zach Wilson is trending towards returning as is Mike White. Ironically, the only time this offense has looked alive is with either White or Johnson under center. And while we’re at it, which Bills’ team shows up?
The NFL odds at all of the best online books are installing Buffalo as a solid 13-point road favorite across the board. If you’re leaning towards Buffalo, it’s a lot of points to give up for a team that looked so offensively inept last week. But then again, New York’s defense ranks the very worst in points allowed (31.4 PPG), 29th against the pass (274.9 YPG), and 27th against the run (133.3 YPG).
The best thing you can do is check out the full preview of this game at Bookmakers Review to see what BMR’s expert cappers are saying about this matchup and all the others on the Week 10 slate.
Teams: Bills vs. Jets
Date: Sunday, November 14, 2021 @ 1:00 PM ET
Location: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford
What’s the Line?
Point Spread: Bills -13
Over/Under: 47 ½
Moneyline: Bengals -700/Jets +520
Last Three Head-to-Head Meetings
October 25, 2020: Line: Bills -9 ½ Final Score: Bills 18 - Jets 10
September 13, 2020: Line: Bills -6 ½ Final Score: Bills 27 – Jets 17
December 29, 2019: Line: Jets -1 ½ Final Score: Jets 13 – Bills 6
Betting the Trends
Bills are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Bills are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS loss.
Bills are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 vs. AFC East.
Bills are 8-1-2 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Bills are 5-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record
Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Jets are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.