Bears vs. Bucs Prediction

NFL Week 10 Predictions: Chicago Bears vs. Tampa Bay Bucs 11/13/16

Now a small road favorite, are the Bears a good bet to cover the spread against the Bucs today at 1:00PM ET?

According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Bears are now 2-point road favorites versus the Bucs after the game opened as a pick’em. As for the total, the number hit the board at 45.5 and that’s where it currently sits.

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BEARS KEY TRENDS: The Bears have failed to cover in seven of their last nine games and are just 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 games versus NFC opponents. They’re also winless at 0-4 against the spread in their last four road games and are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. They’re 3-11-1 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game as well.

BUCS KEY TRENDS: The Bucs are just 18-44-1 against the spread in their last 63 home games and are 3-7 against the number in their last 10 games versus NFC opponents. They’re 3-9 at the betting window in their last 12 games overall, are 8-23 against the spread in their last 31 home games versus a team with a losing road record, and are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a loss of more than 14 points.

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OUR PREDICTION: The side is a coin flip but the total offers some value. The over is 10-2 in the Bears’ last 12 road games versus a team with a losing home record and is 16-5 in their last 21 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game. The over is also 8-3 in the Bucs’ last 11 games overall, is 4-1 in their last five home games and is 6-2 in their last eight games following an ATS loss. The Bucs ranks 29th in the NFL in points allowed, surrendering 29.0 points per game, while the Bears are allowing 22.4 PPG. Neither defense is particularly stout and there should be enough big scoring plays to help push the combined score over the total.

 

NFL WEEK 10 PREDICTION: BEARS/BUCS OVER 45.5

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