Chiefs vs. Cardinals Spread Prediction

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Arizona Cardinals, 11/11/18 Week 10 Predictions

The Arizona Cardinals are just 2-6 on the year but they’re catching 16 points on the road Sunday in Kansas City. Will the underdog cover or will the Chiefs roll against yet another overmatched opponent?

Game Snapshot

267 Arizona Cardinals at 268 Kansas City Chiefs

1:10 p.m. ET, Sunday, November 11

Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri

Public Betting Trends

According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetNow.eu, the Chiefs are 16-point favorites to beat the Cardinals. The total, meanwhile, sits at 49.5 points. As of this writing, 67% of the public betting tickets are on the Chiefs to cover the point spread.

Arizona Cardinals

Chad Williams (ankle) is out for Week 10 against the Chiefs. J.J. Nelson, Kendall Wright, or Trent Sherfield will fill-in for Williams as the team's third wideout. This should ultimately lead to a slight increase in targets for both Larry Fitzgerald and rookie Christian Kirk in OC Byron Leftwich's new uptempo scheme. Kirk remains a WR3/FLEX in a four-team bye week.

Kansas City Chiefs

Sammy Watkins (foot) is questionable for Week 10 against the Cardinals. Watkins returned to practice on Friday (albeit on limited participation), suddenly making it possible he suits up. If active, he'll be a boom-bust WR3/FLEX in his usual role. Chris Conley would need to be downgraded as he'll be on the field, but used sparingly.

NFL Betting Trends

Arizona

The Cardinals are 4-1-1 against the spread in their last six games overall but are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 road games.

Kansas City

The Chiefs are 12-2 against the spread in their last 14 games overall and are 4-1 ATS in their last five games versus a team with a losing record.

Prediction

Earlier this season the Bills went into Minnesota and upset the Vikings as a 16.5-point underdog. It was too many points to lay in a NFL game and perhaps 16 points is too many points to lay with the Chiefs. That said, let’s assume that Kansas City’s offense is firing on all cylinders today. Is there any chance the Cardinals can hang? They’re averaging 13.8 points per game this season, which ranks 31st in the league. They’re dead last in total yards, dead last in rushing yards despite having David Johnson, and are second-to-last in passing yards per game on offense. So yes, laying 16 points in a NFL is a huge risk. But there’s no reason to believe the Chiefs’ offense will slow down at any point and if they score 31 I don’t see the Cardinals getting to 16 or 17 points to cover. They own one of the worst offenses in the league.

NFL Week 10 Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs -16

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