Ravens vs. Bengals Week 10 Prediction

Ravens vs. Bengals, 11/10/19 Week 10 NFL Against the Spread Predictions

The Ravens are coming off one of the best wins of the NFL season and will face a rookie quarterback making his debut for a winless Bengals team on Sunday. That said, while they should win outright, will the Ravens cover as a double-digit road favorite?

Game Snapshot

261 Baltimore Ravens (-10) at 262 Cincinnati Bengals (+10); O/U 44.5

1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, November 10

Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati, OH

Public Betting Trends

According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Ravens are receiving 70% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.

Baltimore Ravens Fantasy Spin

Ravens FS Earl Thomas (knee) is questionable for Sunday's matchup against the Bengals. Thomas is tentatively expected to play through his questionable tag. Either way, the entire Bengals Offense carries a low ceiling and floor after benching Andy Dalton in favor of fourth-round rookie Ryan Finley. The former NC State QB improved in each of his three seasons as a starter, although Finley (6.3% deep-ball rate) joined an underwhelming group of QBs featuring Mike Glennon (6.6%), Ryan Griffin (6.5%) and Nathan Peterman (6%) as the only signal callers to throw the ball more than 20-plus yards downfield on fewer than seven percent of their passes during the preseason (PFF). Only the Dolphins (16.8 points) are implied to score fewer points than the Bengals (17.8) this week.

Cincinnati Bengals Fantasy Spin

A.J. Green (ankle) has been ruled out for the Bengals' Week 10 matchup against the Ravens. Alex Erickson will continue to replace Green in 3-WR sets along with Auden Tate and Tyler Boyd. The entire Bengals Offense carries a low ceiling and floor after benching Andy Dalton in favor of fourth-round rookie Ryan Finley. The former NC State QB improved in each of his three seasons as a starter, although Finley (6.3% deep-ball rate) joined an underwhelming group of QBs featuring Mike Glennon (6.6%), Ryan Griffin (6.5%) and Nathan Peterman (6%) as the only signal callers to throw the ball more than 20-plus yards downfield on fewer than seven percent of their passes during the preseason (PFF). Only the Dolphins (16.8 points) are implied to score fewer points than the Bengals (17.8) this week.

NFL Betting Trends

Baltimore

The Ravens are just 2-5 against the spread in their last seven games overall and are winless at 0-6 at the betting window in their last six games when facing an opponent with a losing record.

Cincinnati

The Bengals are 1-4 against the number in their last five games overall and are 1-8 against the spread in their last nine home games.

Prediction

The Bengals are dreadful and have a great chance to have the No. 1 overall pick in April’s draft. That said, the Ravens have not been profitable against the Bengals in recent meetings. In fact, they’re winless at 0-4 against the spread in their last four games versus the Bengals and are just 4-10 against the number in their last 14 games in Cincinnati. From a matchup standpoint, there’s not much to like about the Bengals. Ryan Finley will make his NFL debut under center, Green won’t play and their linebackers are horrendous (not exactly a positive with the Ravens and their power running game coming to town). That said, look at some of their games this season. They covered as a 9.5-point road underdog in Seattle in Week 1, covered as a 5.5-point road dog in Buffalo in Week 3, and covered against this same Baltimore squad at M&T Bank Stadium as a 10.5-point dog on October 13. Given that this is a letdown spot for the Ravens after they beat the Patriots last week, coupled with the fact that this is a divisional game and the Bengals are coming off a bye, given me the home dog.

NFL Week 10 Prediction: CINCINNATI BENGALS +10

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