Falcons vs. Saints Week 10 Prediction
If you have the Saints in your survivor pool this week, congratulations, you’re probably advancing to Week 11. That said, will the Saints cover as a heavy favorite versus the Falcons?
259 Atlanta Falcons (+13.5) at 260 New Orleans Saints (-13.5); O/U 51
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, November 10
Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, LA
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Saints are receiving 65% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
Atlanta Falcons Fantasy Spin
Falcons coach Dan Quinn confirmed Matt Ryan (ankle) will return for Week 10 against the Saints. Ryan saw his streak of 163 consecutive starts come to an end in Week 8 but luckily his sprained ankle only cost him one game. Even with the Falcons reeling, Ryan has remained a steady fantasy presence, topping 300 yards passing in six of his first seven games. Another 300-yard performance should be in the offing for Sunday's likely shootout in the Big Easy
New Orleans Saints Fantasy Spin
Alvin Kamara (ankle) wasn't listed on the Saints' final injury report. Fire up Kamara as a mid-tier RB1 in a potential smash spot against the Falcons. Still, Latavius Murray should be able to provide near-weekly FLEX value with Drew Brees back under center with the potential for much more when the Saints are able to build a multi-score lead. Mark Ingram was the PPR RB8 and RB26 in 2017 and 2018, respectively, while working as the 'Robin' to Kamara's 'Batman'. The Saints are 13-point favorites over the Falcons in Week 10, meaning Kamara (obviously) and Murray should be fired up in season-long leagues of all shapes and sizes.
NFL Betting Trends
The Falcons are just 1-5 against the spread in their last six games overall and have dropped 14 of 17 at the betting window after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
The Saints are a perfect 6-0 against the spread in their last six games overall and are 5-0 against the number in their last five conference matchups.
I have faded Atlanta nearly all season but this is too many points in a divisional game. Both teams are well rested and only one (New Orleans) is a Super Bowl contender. But Atlanta has too much talent to get steamrolled and more times than not, these Saints-Falcons games are decided by fewer than 10 points. Atlanta’s defense is pure, hot garbage and is not well coached thanks to Dan Quinn. That said, the Falcons did make some changes to their defense over the bye and while they won’t result in a victory on Sunday, I do like Atlanta to cover.
NFL Week 10 Prediction: ATLANTA FALCONS +13.5