Dolphins vs. Colts Week 10 Prediction
The Colts opened as a 15-point home favorite but are now just -10.5 against the Dolphins for Sunday’s 4:05 p.m. ET kickoff at Lucas Oil Stadium. Fresh off their first win of the season, will the Dolphins keep the game close for bettors?
267 Miami Dolphins (+10.5) at 268 Indianapolis Colts (-10.5); O/U 44
4:05 p.m. ET, Sunday, November 10
Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Dolphins are receiving 52% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
Miami Dolphins Fantasy Spin
Dolphins claimed WR Gary Jennings off waivers from the Seahawks. Miami brought Jennings in for a pre-draft visit before he struggled across the board as the No. 120 overall pick in Seattle. Jennings (6'1/214) still showed a lot at his workout in Indy, running a 4.42 40 with 83rd-percentile cumulative SPARQ results. The Dolphins have an opening for (any) receiving help with Preston Williams (knee, IR) vacating 99 air yards and 7.5 targets per game.
Indianapolis Colts Fantasy Spin
Jacoby Brissett (knee) has been ruled out for Week 10 against Miami. Brissett was downgraded from questionable after a limited week of practice. He's not 100 percent after spraining his MCL, and the Colts don't need to push Brissett in a game they win without him. Brian Hoyer will start and has some stream appeal against Miami's league-worst defense. Chad Kelly was promoted from the practice squad to back up Hoyer.
NFL Betting Trends
The Dolphins are a perfect 4-0 against the spread in their last four games but have dropped 12 of their last 16 at the betting window away from Miami.
The Colts are just 0-5-1 against the spread in their last seven games when facing an opponent with a losing record but are 39-18 against the spread in their last 57 games coming off a loss.
Let’s take a peak at the Colts’ home schedule this year, shall we? They opened their home slate with a free win against a horrible Falcons defense, then turned around a week later and lost 31-24 to the Raiders as a 5.5-point home favorite. They beat the Texans 30-23, but they nearly lost to the Broncos the following Sunday. In other words, this Indianapolis team has a habit of playing down to its competition and even though Miami is coming off its first win of the season, I don’t think the Colts are suddenly going to get amped up to face the Dolphins tomorrow. With no Brissett, T.Y. Hilton (calf) or Parris Campbell (hand), the Colts are likely to lean on Marlon Mack and their running game, which will limit possessions and probably scoring as well. I don’t see the Colts running away with this one.
NFL Week 10 Prediction: MIAMI DOLPHINS +10.5