Bills vs. Jets Total Prediction
Two struggling offenses will meet up in Week 10 of the NFL season when the New York Jets play host to the Buffalo Bills on Sunday at 1PM ET. How low could the total go?
Game Snapshot & Odds
Sunday, November 11, 2018
1PM ET – MetLife Stadium
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Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers at BetNow.eu, the Jets are favored at home in this game, as they are getting of -7 points against the Bills. The over/under total for the contest is currently listed at 36.5 points. The public betting for this game currently has 59 percent going on the Jets at home. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NFL Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Bills an offensive disaster
The Buffalo Bills come into this game on a four-game losing streak after suffering a 41-9 loss at home to the Bears. They have been held to single digits in scoring over their last three games. Buffalo is now 2-7 overall, 3-6 against the spread and 6-3 with the under. They had their 6-game under streak broken in last week’s loss.
Buffalo is averaging just 10.7 points and 274.3 yards per game on offense this year, right near the bottom of the NFL in most categories. Rookie quarterback Josh Allen continues to deal with an elbow injury and is questionable to return this week. If he is unable to go, the Bills will have to turn to either Derek Anderson, Nathan Peterman or Matt Barkley. As a whole, the Bills QB’s have thrown for 1,593 yards and three touchdowns with 16 interceptions this year. The Run game isn’t much better as Chris Ivory is the leader with 280 yards while LeSean McCoy has only 267 yards. Ivory is questionable for the game as well with a shoulder injury. Defensively, the Bills are allowing 26.8 points and 327.3 yards per game this year. Their run game is giving up just 101.7 yards per game. The unit has 22 sacks while forcing 13 turnovers.
Jets also on a skid
The New York Jets are also on a skid, losing three straight coming into Sunday following a 13-6 loss at Miami last weekend. The Jets are now 3-6 overall, 3-6 against the spread and 5-4 with the under. They have hit the under in their last two games.
New York is also struggling on offense, averaging just 22 points and 324.9 yards per game this season. Rookie QB Sam Darnold has struggled, throwing for 1,934 yards and 11 touchdowns with 14 interceptions. He will miss Sunday’s game with a foot injury, which puts Josh McCown on the field for the first time this season. McCown could have the Jets top two receivers returning to action as Robby Anderson and Quincy Enunwa are listed as probable to come back from ankle injuries. The Jets have been led offensively this season by Isaiah Crowell, who has 533 yards rushing and five scores. Defensively, New York has been respectable. The Jets are allowing just 23.7 points and 370.8 yards per game right now. They have 21 sacks and have created 15 turnovers as a unit.
NFL Betting Trends
The Bills have hit the under in four straight conference games and in four of their last five against a losing team.
The Jets have hit the under in eight of their last 10 division games, but have hit the over in seven of their last nine at home.
McCown is probably an upgrade over Darnold at home moment, so the Jets’ passing game could see a spark in production on Sunday, but they are still up against a good defense in Buffalo. The Bills have to play well on defense to have any shot week-to-week. New York also has a good defense, so the Bills should definitely continue to struggle to score on the road no matter who is taking the snaps. Despite the total being very low, I see another under for the Bills.
NFL Prediction: Bills/Jets Under 36.5