Cardinals vs. Bucs Total Prediction
Sunday’s matchup between the Cardinals and Bucs in Tampa has one of the highest totals in Week 10. That said, the number was also bet down from 53 to 52 so what’s the best play for bettors?
255 Arizona Cardinals (+4.5) at 256 Tampa Bay Bucs (-4.5); O/U 52
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, November 10
Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Cardinals are receiving 56% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
Arizona Cardinals Fantasy Spin
David Johnson said he's "definitely playing" in Week 10 against the Buccaneers. Kenyan Drake handled 84 percent of Arizona's offensive snaps without Johnson in Week 8 but that workload is fully expected to get scaled back with the latter back healthy after the bye. Johnson was arguably the Cardinals' best receiver on 6.8 targets per game before his three-snap "active" fiasco against the Giants, projecting him to return as an RB2 ahead of Drake as long as Chase Edmonds (hamstring) remains sidelined. Drake is still a premium FLEX option after stuffing the box score with 15/110/1 rushing and 4/52 receiving in his interim bell-cow work against the Niners.
Tampa Bay Bucs Fantasy Spin
Buccaneers coach Bruce Arians said Ronald Jones has "earned the right to start" and "play more snaps." "He's been consistent," Arians said of Jones. "He's been more explosive. It's not that Peyton [Barber] did anything wrong." Jones had out-rushed Barber 314 to 262 on five fewer carries heading into Week 9 but it still took Arians until November to christen last year's No. 38 overall pick as the team's starter. Nonetheless Jones was in on a season-high 53 percent of Tampa Bay's offensive snaps against Seattle while Barber had his role diminished to season-lows in carries (4) and snaps (14%). Arizona's allowed the second-most fantasy points per game to opposing running backs, putting Jones in prime position to dominate as a RB2 in his second consecutive start.
NFL Betting Trends
The over is 4-1 in the Cardinals’ last five games played in the month of November and is 5-1 in their last six games coming off a loss.
The over is a perfect 6-0 in the Bucs’ last six games overall and is 5-2 in their last seven games played in the month of November.
Scoring can be an issue at times for Kliff Kingsbury’s offense, but moving the ball has not been a problem most weeks. Kyler Murray is running the ball more now than he was at the start of the season and he should be in store for a big day both through the air and on the ground this Sunday. The Bucs have a solid run defense, but they can also be had through the air. Meanwhile, Arizona has struggled against both the run and the pass defensively this year and Tampa Bay is coming off a 34-point explosion in Seattle last Sunday. Jamies Winston will turn the ball over, but he’s also good for scoring.
NFL Week 10 Prediction: Cardinals/Bucs OVER 52