Chiefs vs. Colts Prediction
Will the Indianapolis Colts be up to the challenge of being a home underdog when they host the Kansas City Chiefs today at 1PM ET?
According to the oddsmakers at BetDSI, the Chiefs are favored on the road, as they are getting odds of -2.5 points against the Colts. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 50 points. Indianapolis has won six of its last seven meetings with the Chiefs and the Colts have covered the spread in three straight against KC.
The Chiefs have won back-to-back games to get to 4-2 on the season and 2-4 against the spread. The offense has been improving as of late, but in their two losses, KC has been held to 14 points or less, while scoring at least 24 points in all four wins. The Chiefs are averaging just 361 yards per game this season, but turnovers aren’t a major issue, as Alex Smith has just two interceptions with seven touchdowns. He has thrown for 1,511 yards this season while Spencer Ware has run for 492 yards and two scores. Ware continues to have to fill in for Jamaal Charles, who will miss another game due to his lingering knee injury. Defensively, the Chiefs are giving up 379.5 yards per game, but holding opponents to just 20.5 points per game. The unit has created 14 turnovers, including 10 interceptions in 2016. Marcus Peters leads the NFL with five interceptions this season.
The Colts are now 3-4 on the season following a 34-26 win at Tennessee last week. The Colts are now 3-3-1 against the spread on the season, but 2-0-1 ATS in their last three games. Indy has allowed at least 22 points in every game this year while the offense is putting up at least 20 points in every game. Indy is putting up 395.1 yards per game on offense, including just under 300 passing yards. Andrew Luck continues to put up big numbers, throwing for 2,074 yards and 14 touchdowns in 2016 while T.Y. Hilton has caught 45 passes for 689 yards. Frank Gore is having a nice little season for a veteran, rushing for 495 yards and two scores. On defense, the Colts are giving up 409.6 yards per game, including 291 passing yards per contest. The unit has just 11 sacks and seven turnovers on the year.
The Colts are always a dangerous team because Luck is going to get his numbers. While the Chiefs seem to be hitting a new stride right now, it wasn’t that long ago that they were lit up by the Steelers. Going to Indy should lead to some trouble, as Luck will find a way to get points. While the Chiefs should be able to move the ball on this Indy defense, I think the Colts find a way to make enough plays to cover, if not win.
NFL WEEK 8 PREDICTION: INDIANAPOLIS COLTS +2.5