Dolphins vs. Steelers MNF Total Pick
In search of their first win of the season, the Dolphins traveled to Pittsburgh this weekend to take on the Steelers at 8:15 p.m. ET for Monday Night Football. With the total sitting at just 43.5, is the over a good play for bettors?
277 Miami Dolphins (+14) at 278 Pittsburgh Steelers (-14); O/U 43.5
8:15 p.m. ET, Monday, October 28, 2019
Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, PA
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Dolphins are receiving 58% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
Miami Dolphins Fantasy Spin
Kenyan Drake is not traveling with the team ahead of Week 8's game against the Steelers. That obviously means Drake is not expected to play this week. The Dolphins are in serious trade conversations and it would be a surprise if Drake played another snap for Miami. There are quite a few teams rumored to be interested, but we likely won't find out where he lands until Monday or Tuesday. Mark Walton will be the primary back for the Dolphins against the Steelers' top-end defensive line.
Pittsburgh Steelers Fantasy Spin
T.J. Watt (abdominal) is expected to play Week 8 against the Dolphins. Watt was able to get in back-to-back full practices after starting the week in a limited fashion. The edge rusher is set up to have a productive night with the Dolphins in full tank mode, deploying one of the worst offensive lines of the decade. Watt has 4.0 sacks and is PFF's No. 2 3-4 outside linebacker behind Khalil Mack.
NFL Betting Trends
The under is 4-1 in the Dolphins’ last five games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous contest.
The under is 19-7 in the Steelers’ last 26 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous contest.
The under has cashed in four of the Dolphins’ last five games overall and is 8-2 in their last 10 games coming off a loss. On the other side, the under has hit in six of the Steelers’ last seven conference games and is 5-2 in their last seven games overall. The Dolphins have the second-worst rank in the NFL at 18.8% when it comes to offensive drives ending in a turnover. They’ve made 46 plays in the red zone this season, which is the fewest among all 32 teams. While Ryan Fitzpatrick does give his offense a boost, the Steelers will likely go with a run-heavy, clock-chewing game plan with Mason Rudolph back to manage games. With more field goals (seven) than touchdowns (six) in the red zone for Pittsburgh this season, I see this score falling under the total.
NFL Week 8 Prediction: Dolphins/Steelers UNDER 43.5