Redskins vs. Cowboys Spread Prediction

Washington Redskins vs. Dallas Cowboys, 10/21/18 Week 7 Predictions

The Dallas Cowboys are coming off a 40-point outburst versus the Jaguars but that was at home. Will they continue to struggle on the road when they visit NFC East rival the Redskins at 4:25 p.m. ET today?

Game Snapshot

471 Dallas Cowboys at 472 Washington Redskins

4:25 p.m. ET, Sunday, October 21

FedExField, Landover, Maryland

Public Betting Trends

According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetNow.eu, the Cowboys are 1-point favorites to beat the Redskins. The total, meanwhile, sits at 41.5 points. As of this writing, 59% of the public betting tickets are on the Redskins to cover the point spread.

Dallas Cowboys

NFL suspended Cowboys WR Terrance Williams three games for violating the league's substance-abuse policy. The suspension is related to Williams' May arrest for public intoxication and leaving the scene of an accident. It comes at a fortuitous time, as he is currently on injured reserve with a foot issue. Williams will be a candidate for return later this year.

Washington Redskins

Adrian Peterson (questionable, ankle/shoulder) is expected to play against the Cowboys in Week 7. Peterson claims to be feeling much better than he did a week ago. That's good news because the Redskins will certainly need him with Chris Thompson (knee, ribs) on the shelf. Coming off a 97-yard performance in Week 6, AD should be treated as a volume-based RB2 in all fantasy leagues.

NFL Betting Trends

Dallas

The Cowboys are a perfect 4-0 against the spread in their last four games against divisional rivals.

Washington

The Redskins have covered the number in five of their last six home games.

Prediction

Initially, I was leaning towards the home team with the Redskins coming off an impressive bounce back performance versus the Panthers last week, just six days after getting thumped by the Saints in New Orleans. The Cowboys have also struggled on the road this year so laying a point or two with Washington was intriguing.

That said, the more I thought about it, the more I believe Vegas oddsmakers are laying a small trap here. Why didn’t the Redskins open as a 2.5 or 3-point favorite instead -2? That’s the standard for home teams, so Washington didn’t get the standard -2.5 for homefield advantage? It didn’t make sense and neither did the line jumping the fence on Saturday.

The Cowboys are 4-0 against the spread in their last four games in Washington and 5-2 against the number in their last seven games versus the Redskins overall. The road team in this series has also covered the spread in seven of the last eight meetings. Vegas knows something and I’m going with my intuition here.

 

NFL Week 7 Prediction: Dallas Cowboys -1

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