Dolphins vs. Jagaurs London Prediction
This week’s NFL London matchup pits the Dolphins against the Jaguars at 9:30 a.m. ET. Will the Dolphins cover as a 3-point favorite with their starting quarterback back or is there a better bet on the board?
251 Miami Dolphins (-3) at 252 Jacksonville Jaguars (+3); o/u 47
9:30 a.m. ET, Sunday, October 17, 2021
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
Miami Dolphins DFS Spin
Dolphins activated QB Tua Tagovailoa (fractured ribs) from injured reserve. Tagovailoa made the trip to London and will start for the first time since going down in Week 2. The Jaguars are allowing the league's second-highest completion rate, making this an ideal spot for Tua, though he'll be without DeVante Parker (hamstring) and Will Fuller (IR), while Preston Williams (core) is listed as questionable. Tua's return is an upgrade for a Miami offense that's lost three straight since he went down.
Jacksonville Jaguars DFS Spin
Trevor Lawrence completed 23-of-33 passes for 273 yards with a touchdown and an interception in the Jaguars' Week 5 loss to the Titans. Lawrence made his biggest impact in the run game, scoring on a designed run and getting another TD overturned. Lawrence's second-half play was closer to what he showed in Week 3, with the Jacksonville offense failing to convert red-zone chances and Lawrence forcing throws into coverage. The Jaguars' playcalling has centered around Lawrence, who has 21 carries over the last three weeks, and constant negative game scripts under Urban Meyer give him a high passing floor. Lawrence has a streamable Week 6 matchup against a Dolphins secondary that's coming off a five touchdown game to Tom Brady.
Dolphins vs. Jaguars Betting Prediction
The Dolphins are 11-5 against the spread in their last 16 games when facing an opponent with a losing record, are 13-6 against the number in their last 19 conference matchups and are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. The Jags, meanwhile, are 0-5 against the number in their last five games in October, are 1-4 against the spread in their last five games overall and are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as an underdog.
NFL WEEK 6 BETTING PREDICTION: MIAMI DOLPHINS -3