Chiefs vs. Broncos TNF Prediction

Chiefs vs. Broncos, 10/17/19 NFL Week 7 Predictions & Betting Odds

Is the Thursday Night Football Game this week a trap for bettors? The Chiefs are struggling, but are laying only a field goal to the host Broncos. Where is the value for bettors in this AFC West matchup?

Game Snapshot

303 Kansas City Chiefs (-3) at 304 Denver Broncos (+3); O/U 49.5

8:20 p.m. ET, Thursday, October 17, 2019

Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO

Public Betting Odds

According to our NFL Public Betting Chart page, the Chiefs are drawing 70% of the betting tickets ahead of Thursday night’s game.

Kansas City Chiefs Fantasy Spin

NFL Network's James Palmer said Patrick Mahomes is dealing with a "legit" ankle injury. Speaking on Mahomes' relative lack of production the past few games (we say "relative" because he's still on pace to shatter the league's single-season passing yards record), Palmer said the quarterback's ankle ailment, an injury he picked up in Week 1 and later aggravated against the Colts in Week 5, is "probably worse than most people think it is." Palmer noted that opponents have emphasized man coverage schemes against the hobbled MVP, who has been reluctant to abandon the pocket throughout his injury. Despite his ankle woes, Mahomes has only missed nine offensive snaps this year and none since Week 1.

Denver Broncos Fantasy Spin

Emmanuel Sanders (knee) was upgraded to "full" in Tuesday's practice. In other words, he will be out there against the Chiefs. Even in a plus matchup, Sanders will be a low-end WR3. Courtland Sutton has taken control of the Broncos' receiver corps, currently checking in as ninth in the league in receiving (477).

Kansas City

The Chiefs are a perfect 5-0 against the spread in the last five meetings between these two teams in Denver and are 6-1 against the number in their last seven games versus the Broncos overall.

Denver

While the home team is just 2-9 against the spread in the last 11 meetings, the underdog has covered in seven of the previous 10 meetings.

Thursday Night NFL Prediction

This has trap game written all over it. The Chiefs are only laying a field goal to a Broncos team that has no scoring punch? No thanks. Give me Denver. Oddsmakers know something here and are setting up bettors to fail. Sammy Watkins has been ruled out, as well as a few others along the Chiefs’ offensive and defensive line. That includes Eric Fisher, Andrew Wylie, Chris Jones and cornerback Kendall Fuller as well. The Broncos’ pass rush came alive last week versus Tennessee and the Titans couldn’t move the ball offensively. While Patrick Mahomes and Co. have more firepower than the Titans, I also see Mahomes running for his life on a bad ankle. Give me the points.

NFL WEEK 7 PREDICTION: Denver Broncos +3

Loading...

NFL Predictions & Picks

Thumbnail Panthers vs. Falcons Week 14 Prediction NFC South teams with nothing on the line but pride will meet in Atlanta on Sunday where the Falcons will host the Panthers at 1:00 p.m. ET. After opening as a...
Thumbnail Colts vs. Bucs Week 14 Prediction The Bucs have won back-to-back games but are hosting a Colts team on Sunday that is fighting for their playoff lives. Laying a field goal as a home favorite, are...
Thumbnail Bengals vs. Browns Week 14 Prediction The Browns are laying seven points to the Bengals on Sunday at 1:00 p.m. ET in a matchup of AFC North foes. Is that too many points to lay with a 5-7 Cleveland...
Thumbnail Dolphins vs. Jets Week 14 Prediction The Jets will be without their top offensive weapon on Sunday when they host the Dolphins at 1:00 p.m. ET. Is Gang Green laying too many points as a 5-point home...
Thumbnail Seahawks vs. Rams Total Prediction NFC West rivals meet on Sunday Night Football this weekend as the Rams host the Seahawks in a pivotal matchup with playoff implications. With the total sitting at 47...

NFL Headlines