Bills vs. Texans Prediction
Can the Houston Texans possibly cover a double-digit spread at home when they host the Buffalo Bills today at 1PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
Sunday, October 11, 2018
1PM ET – NRG Stadium
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Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers at BetNow.eu, the Texans are favored at home, as they are getting odds of -10 points against the Bills. The over/under total for the contest is currently listed at 40 points. The public betting for this game currently has 62 percent going on Buffalo on the road. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NFL Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Texans on win streak
The Houston Texans are coming off a second consecutive OT victory last week when they defeated the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday Night Football. Houston is now 2-3 overall, 1-4 against the spread and 3-2 with the under. The Texans have yet to cover at home.
Houston is putting up a lot of yards on offense this year, averaging 440.4 yards per game. However, that is only translating into 23 points per contest. Deshaun Watson has thrown for 1,621 yards with eight touchdowns and five interceptions. He has been sacked 18 times and has rushed for 201 yards. Watson was limited at practice this week due to sore ribs after some physical hits he took last weekend. DeAndre Hopkins is one of the league’s leading receivers with 39 catches for 594 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, the Texans are giving up just 24.8 points and 382.4 yards per game. The unit has 13 sacks as a group, with J.J. Watt leading the way with six sacks.
Bills upset the Titans
The Buffalo Bills are coming off a 13-12 win at home over the Titans last week for their second win. They are now 2-3 on the season, 2-3 against the spread and 3-2 with the under. Buffalo has been a 6-point do or greater in all five games this year.
The Bills have struggled a great deal on offense this year, averaging just 12.6 points and 253.8 yards per game. Rookie QB Josh Allen has thrown for 748 yards and two touchdowns, but has five interceptions and has been sacked 19 times. He also has run for 135 yards and three touchdowns. LeSean McCoy hasn’t been able to get going, rushing for just 170 yards on 45 carries. Buffalo is respectable on defense, allowing 23.6 points and 344 yards per contest. They have 12 sacks and have forced nine turnovers this year.
NFL Betting Trends
The Texans are just 1-9 against the spread in their last 10 overall and 1-6 ATS in their last seven conference games.
The Bills are 3-1-1 against the spread in their last five games in October, but just 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following a win.
I know the Bills aren’t a good football team, but the Texans are being given far too much credit. Oddsmakers and bettors must still be looking at them as last year’s Houston team with Watson. That team hasn’t appeared this season. This is a team that lost at home to the Giants by five. Buffalo showed it still has some life with a nice 13-12 win over the Titans and the Bills have already won at Minnesota. I think the Bills will at least make this a competitive game. I will gladly take the points.
NFL Prediction: Buffalo Bills +10