Dolphins vs. Falcons Total Pick

Dolphins vs. Falcons NFL Week 6 Preview & Picks 10/12/17

Will the Dolphins and Falcons combine to score enough points in Atlanta on Sunday to push the number over the total?

According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the over/under currently sits at 46 points after hitting the board at 47.5. As for the spread, Atlanta opened as a 9-point home favorite but the line has jumped to 11.5.

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Miami Dolphins Betting Trends

The Dolphins are 10-2 against the spread in their last 12 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game and are 7-3 against the number in their last 10 games following an ATS win. That said, they’re also 3-8 against the number in their last 11 games versus a team with a winning record and are 2-7 at the betting window in their last nine games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.

Atlanta Falcons Betting Trends

The Falcons are 5-1 against the spread in their last six games following an ATS loss, are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game, and are 4-1 at the betting window in their last five games coming off a bye. Where they have struggled, however, is coming off a loss. They’re 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a defeat.

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OUR PREDICTION: Now that the Falcons are healthy again, they should put up plenty of points against a Dolphins secondary that has struggled. Julio Jones is back and while Mohamed Sanu is still out with a hamstring injury, Jones, Matt Ryan, Devonta Freeman, Tevin Coleman and Taylor Gabriel offers plenty of firepower. The over is 12-1 in the Falcons’ last 13 home games and is 18-7-1 in their last 26 games overall.

 

NFL WEEK 6 PICK: DOLPHINS/FALCONS OVER 46

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