Jaguars vs. Bucs Free Pick
In a matchup only fans of the respective teams and bettors can love, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will host the Jacksonville Jaguars at 1:00PM ET today.
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Mybookie.ag, the Bucs are 2.5-point home favorites versus the Jaguars while the total for today's game is sitting at 42 points. Jacksonville enters play with a 1-3 record and is 2-2 against the spread, while Tampa Bay is 1-3 overall and 1-3 at the betting window.
We'd run from this matchup but there is some value in the home favorite. That's because the Jaguars are allowing 26.8 points per game, which ranks 25th in the NFL in scoring defense. They also have no pass rush and has just one interception this season, which came from linebacker Paul Posluszny in Week 1.
Jameis Winston has already thrown seven interceptions in his first four games in the NFL but this might be a matchup he can exploit. He's also thrown six touchdowns, so clearly he's capable of moving the ball at times.
On the other side of the coin, the Jags are scoring just 15.5 points per game, which is the second-worst average in the NFL. The Bucs defense has struggled, but perhaps this is the matchup it desperately needs to get back on track for at least one week. Lay the points.
NFL WEEK 5 FREE PICK: TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS -2.5