Bills vs. Chiefs SNF Prediction
The NFL Sunday Night Football matchup this week features a rematch of last season’s AFC title game when the Chiefs host the Bills at 8:20 p.m. ET. With the Chiefs laying a field goal as a home favorite and the total sitting at 56.5, what’s the best bet when it comes to this matchup?
477 Buffalo Bills (+3) at 478 Kansas City Chiefs (-3); o/u 56.5
8:20 p.m. ET, Sunday, October 10, 2021
NFL Week 5 Regular Season
Buffalo Bills DFS Spin
Josh Allen completed 20-of-29 passes for 248 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, adding six carries for 41 yards in Buffalo's 40-0 Week 4 win over the Texans. It should have and could have been so much better. Allen and the Bills were stopped in the red zone multiple times by a stern Texans defense, and the inclement weather seemed to play a part in Allen whizzing an interception directly at Lonnie Johnson on his first dropback. Allen settled in and did the usual Allen things, impacting the game with his legs and slinging darts, but the end result is a bit of a disappointing point total in an obvious smash spot. Allen will remain a high-end QB1 for a Sunday-nighter against an extremely flammable Chiefs defense in Week 5.
Kansas City Chiefs DFS Spin
Patrick Mahomes completed 24-of-30 passes for 278 yards with five touchdowns and an interception in Kansas City's Week 4 win over the Eagles. Mahomes threw three of his touchdowns to Tyreek Hill, including a 44-yarder against broken coverage. Over half of his yards and 11 of his 24 completions went to Hill, with Travis Kelce the only other pass catcher to finish with more than two receptions. Mahomes had a shaky Week 3, throwing a pair of interceptions in a loss to the Chargers, but the three-time Pro Bowler got back on track this week. Mahomes is averaging 305 yards per game with a 14:4 TD/INT ratio through the first month of the season.
Bills vs. Chiefs Betting Prediction
The Bills are just 1-5 against the spread in their last six games versus the Chiefs, while the favorite has cashed in five of the last seven meetings between these two teams. Kansas City is also 20-8 at the betting window in its last 28 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in its previous game and is 6-2 against the number in its last eight games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in its previous contest.
NFL WEEK 5 BETTING PREDICTION: KANSAS CITY CHIEFS -3