Texans vs. Chiefs Total Prediction
The Chiefs will attempt to rebound from their first loss of the season when they host the Texans at 1:00 p.m. ET on Sunday. Given Patrick Mahomes and the offense’s issues last week, is the under a safe play this weekend at Arrowhead?
257 Houston Texans (+4.5) at 285 Kansas City Chiefs (-4.5); O/U 55
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, October 13
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Chiefs are receiving 63% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
Houston Texans Fantasy Spin
Will Fuller caught 14-of-16 targets for 217 yards and three touchdowns in the Texans' Week 5 win over the Falcons. Fuller's first score was a short red zone corner route, the second came off a busted coverage on a deep crosser, and the third was via a beautifully placed ball down the sideline for 44 yards to ice the game. He was impossible to cover all afternoon and could've had an even bigger day if he wasn't tackled at the one-yard line on two separate occasions. Fuller won't have twice as many targets as DeAndre Hopkins more weeks than not, but this was a reminder of the type of blowup performances the Texans' overqualified No. 2 WR is capable of. Next up is another winnable matchup against the Chiefs.
Kansas City Chiefs Fantasy Spin
Patrick Mahomes "tweaked" his ankle in Sunday's Week 5 loss to the Colts but is expected to be fine. "Just reaggravated it a little bit there in the first half and then got stepped on in the second half," said Mahomes, who didn't look like himself but was still credited with 321 passing yards in Sunday night's defeat. "Obviously it's going to be a little sore tomorrow." The reigning MVP absorbed a season-high four sacks in the loss to Indy and was walking with a pronounced limp at one point, but nonetheless played all 61 of the Chiefs' offensive snaps. He'll surely have his practice reps rationed ahead of next week's expected shootout with Houston.
NFL Betting Trends
The under is 6-0 in the Texans’ last six games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
The over is 6-0 in the Chiefs’ last six games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
The Texans racked up over 50 points last week at home versus the Falcons, but they won’t face a defense as pathetic as the one Dan Quinn rolls out on a weekly basis in Atlanta. No, the Chiefs’ strength doesn’t reside on defense, but I still see the under carrying the best value on Sunday. The under is 51-24-1 in the Chiefs’ last 76 home games, is 4-11 in their last six games played in October and is 16-5 in the Texans’ last 21 conference games. In Houston’s last seven games overall, the under is also 5-2.
NFL Week 6 Prediction: Texans/Chiefs UNDER 55