Patriots vs. Browns Prediction

NFL Week 5 Predictions: New England Patriots vs. Cleveland Browns 10/9/16

Will the Patriots cover as a double-digit road favorite in Tom Brady's return when they visit the Browns today at 1:00PM ET?

According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Browns are 10.5-point home underdogs versus the Patriots while the over/under total currently sits at 47 points. While the side hasn't moved off the original number, the total has jumped from 46.5 up to 47.

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NEW ENGLAND: The Patriots have failed to cover in six of their last eight road games but are 36-16-3 against the number in their last 55 games in October. They're also 10-2 against the spread in their last 12 games when playing in Week 5 and are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.

CLEVELAND: The Browns are just 1-5 against the spread in their last six home games and are 1-4 against the number in their last five games overall. They're also 2-8 at the betting window in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game and are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games versus a team with a winning record.

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OUR PREDICTION: Brady is back and the Patriots are coming off a loss - no better time than to back Bill Belichick and Co. than now. Granted, 10.5 points is a lot to lay on a road team in the NFL but assuming Brady isn't rusty, the Patriots should run up the score early and often. The Browns won't be able to keep pace - just make sure you buy the hook down to 10.


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