Broncos vs. Jets Total Prediction

New York Jets vs. Denver Broncos, 10/7/18 NFL Predictions & Preview

Will defense be the story of today’s NFL Week 5 game between the Denver Broncos and the New York Jets at 1PM ET?

Game Snapshot & Odds

459 Denver Broncos at 460 New York Jets

Sunday, October 7, 2018

1PM ET – MetLife Stadium


Compare odds and from multiple different online sportsbooks and shop for the best lines at our new NFL Odds & Betting Page.

Public Betting Trends

According to oddsmakers at, the Broncos are favored on the road, as they are getting odds of -1 point against the Jets. The over/under total is currently listed at 42.5 points. The public betting for this game currently has 65 percent going on Denver on the road. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NFL Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.

Jets drop three straight

Since the lopsided win over the Lions to open the season, the New York Jets have lost three straight to the likes of the Dolphins, Browns and Jaguars. They are 1-3 overall and 1-3 against the spread. They have split the over/under total in their four games.

While it says the Jets are averaging 22.3 points per game this season, keep in mind they scored 48 points in Week 1. They are averaging just 305 yards per game on offense this year and just 88 yards per game on the ground. Isaiah Crowell is the leading rusher with 171 yards and four touchdowns on 42 carries. Rookie Sam Darnold has thrown for 868 yards and four touchdowns, but also has five interceptions. Defensively, the Jets aren’t doing great, but that isn’t the major issue. They are allowing 22.3 points and 377.3 yards per game on the season. They have 10 sacks and 10 turnovers forced as a unit.

Broncos need to bounce back

The Broncos are coming off back-to-back losses to the Ravens and Chiefs to drop to 2-2 on the season. They have yet to cover the spread in a game this year, posting a 0-3-1 mark against the spread thus far. Denver is also 3-1 with the under.

Denver has been hot-and-cold on defense. They are giving up 24.3 points and 385.5 yards per game. Their run defense is allowing just 93.8 yards per game, but the pass defense is allowing 291.8 yards per contest. Von Miller still has four sacks thus far in the season. Offensively, The Broncos are putting up 395.3 yards per game, but that has translated to just 21 points per contest. Case Keenum has been turnover prone, throwing for 988 yards and three touchdowns, but has six interceptions. The ground attack has been strong with rookies Phillip Lindsay and Royce Freeman combining for 486 yards and four touchdowns.

NFL Betting Trends

New York

The Jets have hit the under in five of their last six AFC games and in eight of their last 10 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.


The Broncos have hit the under in four straight games against losing teams and in five of their last six against AFC opponents.


Don’t expect a ton of offense here. The Jets aren’t moving the ball consistently at all right now and Darnold is likely to make some mistakes against this Denver pass rush. Keenum isn’t much different. He has been turnover prone and is facing a defense that has been able to create turnovers this year. There could be a lot of yards amassed, but I don’t think it will translate into a lot of points.

NFL Prediction: Broncos/Jets Under 42.5

Related: Broncos vs. Jets Spread Prediction


NFL Predictions & Picks

Thumbnail Chiefs Open as Favorites vs. 49ers With the conference championships now in the rearview mirror, we can concentrate on Super Bowl 54. With the matchup now set between the Chiefs and the 49ers, what did...
Thumbnail NFC Title Game Spread Prediction The NFC Championship Game will take place at 6:40 p.m. ET tonight in Santa Clara as the 49ers host the Packers. Are the Packers the best play as a large road...
Thumbnail Packers vs. 49ers Total Prediction The total for Sunday’s NFC Championship Game has climbed to 46.5 at some books but is back down to 46 as of early afternoon. Will the Packers and 49ers combine to hit...
Thumbnail AFC Title Game Spread Prediction The Titans not only knocked off the Patriots and Ravens the past two weeks, they did so as an underdog in each game. Will the Titans make it three in a row with an...
Thumbnail AFC Title Titans vs. Chiefs Total Prediction With the total sitting at 51.5 is the total for Sunday’s AFC Championship Game set too high by oddsmakers? The Titans and Chiefs will kick off at 3:05...

NFL Headlines