Broncos vs. Jets Total Prediction
Will defense be the story of today’s NFL Week 5 game between the Denver Broncos and the New York Jets at 1PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
Sunday, October 7, 2018
1PM ET – MetLife Stadium
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Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers at BetNow.eu, the Broncos are favored on the road, as they are getting odds of -1 point against the Jets. The over/under total is currently listed at 42.5 points. The public betting for this game currently has 65 percent going on Denver on the road. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NFL Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Jets drop three straight
Since the lopsided win over the Lions to open the season, the New York Jets have lost three straight to the likes of the Dolphins, Browns and Jaguars. They are 1-3 overall and 1-3 against the spread. They have split the over/under total in their four games.
While it says the Jets are averaging 22.3 points per game this season, keep in mind they scored 48 points in Week 1. They are averaging just 305 yards per game on offense this year and just 88 yards per game on the ground. Isaiah Crowell is the leading rusher with 171 yards and four touchdowns on 42 carries. Rookie Sam Darnold has thrown for 868 yards and four touchdowns, but also has five interceptions. Defensively, the Jets aren’t doing great, but that isn’t the major issue. They are allowing 22.3 points and 377.3 yards per game on the season. They have 10 sacks and 10 turnovers forced as a unit.
Broncos need to bounce back
The Broncos are coming off back-to-back losses to the Ravens and Chiefs to drop to 2-2 on the season. They have yet to cover the spread in a game this year, posting a 0-3-1 mark against the spread thus far. Denver is also 3-1 with the under.
Denver has been hot-and-cold on defense. They are giving up 24.3 points and 385.5 yards per game. Their run defense is allowing just 93.8 yards per game, but the pass defense is allowing 291.8 yards per contest. Von Miller still has four sacks thus far in the season. Offensively, The Broncos are putting up 395.3 yards per game, but that has translated to just 21 points per contest. Case Keenum has been turnover prone, throwing for 988 yards and three touchdowns, but has six interceptions. The ground attack has been strong with rookies Phillip Lindsay and Royce Freeman combining for 486 yards and four touchdowns.
NFL Betting Trends
The Jets have hit the under in five of their last six AFC games and in eight of their last 10 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
The Broncos have hit the under in four straight games against losing teams and in five of their last six against AFC opponents.
Don’t expect a ton of offense here. The Jets aren’t moving the ball consistently at all right now and Darnold is likely to make some mistakes against this Denver pass rush. Keenum isn’t much different. He has been turnover prone and is facing a defense that has been able to create turnovers this year. There could be a lot of yards amassed, but I don’t think it will translate into a lot of points.
NFL Prediction: Broncos/Jets Under 42.5