Dolphins vs. Bengals Free Pick
CINCINNATI, OH (The Spread) – Two teams with reverse records will square off in Cincinnati when the Bengals host the Dolphins at 1:00PM ET. Which team will cover?
NFL Odds: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Bengals are 3-point favorites over the Dolphins, while the over/under total is currently sitting at 45 points. Miami is 1-3 overall and 0-2 on the road this year, while Cincinnati is 3-1 and 0-1 at home.
Line Movement: The Bengals opened as either a 5.5, 4.5 or 4-point favorite depending on what book you view, but they’re down to a 3-point favorite right now. The total, meanwhile, opened at 44.5 and is now up to 45.
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Public Betting: Of the wagers currently placed on this game, 72% of NFL public bettors currently favor the Bengals. This information is subject to change leading up to kickoff, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most up-to-date NFL public betting numbers.
NFL FREE PICK: Take Cincinnati. According to latest NFL trends, the Bengals are 4-0 against the spread in their last four games in October, 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games in Week 5 and 6-1-2 ATS versus a team with a losing record. Some would consider this a letdown game for Cincinnati, but with the way Miami played last Sunday in Arizona the Bengals aren’t likely to take the Dolphins lightly. Cincinnati is in the middle of a battle with Baltimore for first place in the AFC North, so Marvin Lewis’ team knows it has to keep churning out wins because the Ravens have had the Bengals’ number over the years. Look for Geno Atikins, Carlos Dunlap and Michael Johnson to create pressure on Ryan Tannehill, who won’t repeat his 431-yard performance from a week ago.
2012 NFL WEEK 5 FREE PICK: CINCINNATI BENGALS -3