Packers vs. Lions Total Prediction
Will NFC North rivals, the Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions find themselves in a shootout when the two meet indoors on Sunday at 1PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
Sunday, October 7, 2018
1PM ET – Ford Field
Compare odds and from multiple different online sportsbooks and shop for the best lines at our new NFL Odds & Betting Page.
Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers at BetNow.eu, the Packers are favored on the road, as they are getting odds of -1 point against the Lions. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 51 points. The public betting for this game currently has 69 percent going on Green Bay on the road. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NFL Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Packers banged up
The Packers are coming off a nice 22-0 win over the Buffalo Bills last week at home to move to 2-1-1 on the season. They are just 2-2 against the spread this season while hitting the over in three of the four games.
Green Bay has been improved on defense this year, allowing just 20.8 points and 349.5 yards per game this season. The unit has 13 sacks and has forced six turnovers. Offensively, the Packers are putting up 23 points and 398.3 yards per game. Aaron Rodgers is having another strong year, throwing for 1,130 yards and seven touchdowns with just one INT. However, he has been sacked 12 times. This week, he could be without a lot of his top receivers. Geronimo Allison, Davante Adams and Randall Cobb have all missed practice time this week and are questionable for Sunday’s game. Green Bay could use more from its run game, which is averaging just 102 yards per game. Jamaal Williams is the leading rusher with 162 yards on 47 carries.
Lions edged at Dallas
The Lions are coming off a narrow 26-24 loss at Dallas last week in which they lost on a last-second field goal. Detroit is just 1-3 on the year with a 3-1 mark against the spread. The Lions are also 3-1 with the over this season.
Part of the reason for the Lions struggles is their run defense. Detroit is giving up 157.8 yards per game on the ground thus far. As a whole, Detroit is giving up 28.5 points and 355.8 yards per game. The unit may get back Ezekiel Ansah back this week. He has missed the last three games with a shoulder injury. On offense, the Lions have been showing improvement in recent weeks. They are now averaging 28.5 points and 402 yards per game. Their run game is creeping up toward 100 yards per game as rookie Kerryon Johnson has emerged in recent outings. He has 216 yards and a touchdown on 38 carries this year. Matthew Stafford is leading the offense with 1,202 yards and eight touchdowns to go with five interceptions. Golden Tate is the leading receiver with 28 catches for 389 yards and three scores. Up front, the Lions could be without veteran guard T.J. Lang this Sunday due to a concussion.
NFL Betting Trends
The Packers are 5-1 with the over in their last six division games and 6-1 with the over in their last seven games on fieldturf.
The Lions have hit the over in eight of their last 10 conference games and in eight of their last 11 home games.
These two have hit the over in five straight meetings and I can see a lot of offense on Sunday. The Lions have been getting better with the ball since their awful Week 1 and they are actually starting to run the ball a little. The Packers may be short-handed at receiver, but still have Rodgers and their run game should be able to provide a spark against the awful Detroit run defense. Rodgers has made plenty of plays against the Lions over his career and I expect this to be a shootout once again.
NFL Prediction: Packers/Lions Over 51