BUF-MIA Free Pick

AFC East rivals clash at Land Shark Stadium on Sunday when the Miami Dolphins host the Buffalo Bills at 4:05PM ET.

Bet NFL Week 4

The Bills fell to 1-2 on the season with a 27-7 loss to the Saints as 5.5-point underdogs. Trent Edwards threw for only 156 yards and an inception, while Fred Jackson rushed for 71 yards on 81 carries in the loss.

The Dolphins fell to 0-3 on the year with a 23-13 loss to the Chargers as a 5.5-point underdog. Ronnie Brown rushed for 75 yards on 18 carries, while Ricky Williams compiled 55 yards on the ground and a touchdown on eight carries. Miami quarterback Chad Pennington suffered a season-ending shoulder injury in the loss.

Oddsmakers from online sports book SBGGLOBAL.com have made the Bills 1.5-point favorites over the Dolphins on Sunday. The over/under total for this game has been set at 37.

While the Bills have plenty of issues, they pale in comparison to the problems that the Dolphins have. Miami will start Chad Henne on Sunday and will surely have issues scoring points.

The reason why the point spread is so low is because Buffalo has a ton of injuries on the defensive side of the ball. But due to Miami’s potential issues on offense, the Bills should be fine as long as they somewhat contain the Dolphins’ running game.

We favor the Bills in this matchup and recommend taking the under as both teams could have trouble moving the ball.

Our NFL Week 4 Free Pick for this matchup is: BUFFALO BILLS –1.5 and UNDER 37.

Bills at Dolphins Current Odds

219 Buffalo Bills –1.5 Over 37

220 Miami Dolphins +1.5 Under 37

NFL Week 4 Betting Trends

Buffalo is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Buffalo is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games
Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Miami is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Buffalo

NFL Week 4 Injury Report

Miami Dolphins

Joey Porter, LB, Questionable Week 4 (hamstring)

Buffalo Bills

Andre Ramsey, OL, Signed to practice squad

Brad Butler, OT, Placed on injured reserve

Jamon Meredith, OT, Signed from Green Bay practice squad

Alvin Bowen, LB, Released

Marcus Freeman, LB, Signed

Justin Jenkins, WR, Signed

Jonathan Stupar, TE, Released

Jonathan Stupar, TE, Signed to practice squad

Kirk Chambers, OL, Re-signed

Langston Walker, LT, Released

Bet NFL Week 4

Posted: 10/4/09 2:35PM ET

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