Patriots vs. Bucs Total Pick
Will Thursday night’s matchup between the Patriots and Bucs result in a high-scoring game for bettors?
Who: Patriots (2-2) at Bucs (2-1)
When: 8:25PM ET, Thursday, October 5
Where: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Patriots are 5.5-point road favorites to knock off the Bucs in Tampa. New England opened as a 5-point favorite but the line was bet up to 5.5 fairly quickly. As for the total, the number hit the board at 53.5 but was bet up two full points to 55.5.
New England Patriots Betting Trends
The Patriots are a perfect 4-0 against the spread in their last four road games and have covered in six of their last seven games when facing an opponent that owns a winning record. They’re also 9-3 against the spread in their last 12 games despite failing to cover in three of their first four games. Here’s the key stat: In their last 60 games coming off a loss, New England is 41-18-1 at the betting window.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Trends
The Bucs are just 1-4 against the spread in their last five games overall. They’re also winless at 0-4 against the number in their last five games played on Thursday night. Where the Bucs have really killed bettors is at home, where the team is just 22-46-1 at the betting window in their last 69 games at Raymond James Stadium.
Our Prediction: The Patriots defense has been a disaster in their first four games. Carolina had done nothing offensively in its first three games but the Panthers walked into Foxborough a week ago and lit the Pats for 33 points in a 33-30 win. The over is now a perfect 8-0 in New England’s last eight games overall and 8-1 in its last nine games played on grass. On the other side, the over is also a perfect 7-0 in the Buccaneers’ last seven games played on Thursday and is 5-1 in their last six games in Week 5.
NFL WEEK 5 PICKS: PATRIOTS/BUCCANEERS OVER 55.5