Chiefs vs. Buccaneers Prediction & Odds

Chiefs vs. Bucs, 10/2/22 NFL Betting Prediction, Odds & Trends

The Sunday Night Football matchup will pit the Chiefs against the Bucs at 8:20 p.m. ET. With the line moving from Tampa Bay +2.5 to now -1.5, what’s the best play on the board when it comes to this matchup?

Game Matchup & Betting Odds

277 Kansas City Chiefs (+1.5) at 278 Tampa Bay Bucs (-1.5); o/u 45.5

8:20 p.m. ET, Sunday, October 2, 2022

Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL

Chiefs vs. Bucs Public Betting Information

Our NFL Public Betting Information page indicates that 65% of public bettors are currently backing the Chiefs when it comes to the spread. This information is subject to change throughout the day, however, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.

Kansas City Chiefs DFS Spin

ESPN's Adam Teicher believes the Chiefs backfield "is going to be more of a committee thing" going forward.  The Chiefs, per Teicher, "still don't seem comfortable using Clyde Edwards-Helaire in most third-down situations," instead using pass-catching specialist Jerick McKinnon, especially in the team's two-minute offense. McKinnon in Week 3 against the Colts ran more routes and equaled CEH with seven rushing attempts. After three games, it's McKinnon who leads the Kansas City backfield with a 28 percent snap share while Edwards-Helaire sits at 27 percent. CEH has skated by with four touchdowns through three weeks -- a pace that won't continue. There won't be much fantasy juice to squeeze out of the KC backfield unless CEH or McKinnon miss time. NBC Sports' Edge's Denny Carter recently recommended McKinnon as a waiver add in 12-team leagues.

Tampa Bay Bucs DFS Spin

ESPN's Adam Schefter reports the Bucs are "optimistic" Chris Godwin (hamstring) and Julio Jones (knee) will play Week 4 against the Chiefs but want "to test both pregame to make sure." With the Bucs playing on Sunday night, it would be nice to have a little more clarity than "optimistic," but it does not look like that clarity will come before the early kickoffs. The risk might be worth the reward, especially for Godwin, but fantasy managers will need to have a backup plan in place if they plan to risk it with either receiver.

Chiefs vs. Bucs Betting Trends

Over is 5-1 in Chiefs last 6 road games

Over is 8-3 in Chiefs last 11 games overall

Under is 4-1 in Buccaneers last 5 games overall

Chiefs vs. Bucs Prediction:

The Chiefs 0-4 against the spread in their last four games at Raymond James Stadium and are 0-4 against the number in their last four games versus the Bucs. The home team, meanwhile, is 5-1 against the spread in the last six meetings between these teams, the Chiefs are 6-13 against the spread in their last 19 games following an ATS loss and are 3-7 at the betting window in the last 10 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. The Bucs are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games versus a team with a winning record, are 8-2 at the betting window in the last 10 games coming off a loss and are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games.

NFL WEEK 4 PREDICTION: KANSAS CITY CHIEFS

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