Saints vs. Packers Free Pick
ODDS: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Packers are 9-point home favorites over the Saints, while the over/under total is sitting at 53 points. New Orleans is 0-3 overall and 0-1 on the road, while Green Bay is 1-2 overall and 1-1 at home.
LINE MOVEMENT: The Packers opened as 7.5-point favorites but the line has jumped to 9 at most books, although some places still list Green Bay at -7.5. The total opened at 54 and has been bet down to 53.
Public Betting: Of the wagers currently placed on this game, 53% of NFL public bettors currently favor the Packers. This information is subject to change leading up to kickoff, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most up-to-date NFL public betting numbers.
NFL FREE PICK: Take Green Bay. Some bettors are still waiting for the Saints to turn their misfortunes around but it’s not going to happen. They have serious issues, especially on the defensive side of the ball where Steve Spagnuolo’s defense hasn’t been able to generate a pass rush and has been suspect in the secondary. That’s a bad omen for a defense that is about to face an offense that is past due to start firing on all cylinders. Look for Aaron Rodgers and Co. to release their frustrations from Monday’s fiasco on New Orleans this Sunday in Green Bay. The 9 points will scare some bettors off, or convince them to take the Saints. But New Orleans’ offense usually struggles on the road and Green Bay’s defense has played well since its poor performance Week 1 versus San Francisco. According to latest NFL trends, the favorite is 4-0 against the spread in the last four meetings between these two teams, while the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings between Green Bay and New Orleans. Lay the points.
2012 NFL WEEK 4 FREE PICK: GREEN BAY PACKERS -9