Vikings vs. Bears Week 4 Prediction
A huge early-season meeting in the NFC North will take place on Sunday when the Bears host the Vikings at 4:25 p.m. ET. Listed as a small road underdog, will Minnesota pull off the upset or will Chicago prevail?
271 Minnesota Vikings (+1.5) at 272 Chicago Bears (-1.5); O/U 38
4:25 p.m. ET, Sunday, September 29, 2019
Solider Field, Chicago, IL
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Vikings are receiving 55% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
Minnesota Vikings Fantasy Spin
Dalvin Cook rushed 16 times for 110 yards and a touchdown in the Vikings' Week 3 win over the Raiders, adding four receptions for 33 additional yards. Cook put on a dizzying display of athletic ability and ridiculous vision all afternoon. He had more than a few runs for 15-plus yards that resulted in multiple Raiders defenders ending up on the ground. Cook’s afternoon could have been even bigger if Alexander Mattison and Adam Thielen (lol) hadn’t each found the end zone on rush attempts inside the 10-yard line. He even possesses a solid receiving floor in the event that the Vikings offensive line eventually stops opening up gaping rushing lanes. Fire up Cook as a high-end RB1 even in a tough road matchup against the Bears in Week 4.
Chicago Bears Fantasy Spin
Mitchell Trubisky completed 25-of-31 passes for 231 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception in the Bears' 31-15, Week 3 win over the Redskins Monday night. Trubisky didn't account for a touchdown Weeks 1-2. He didn't play all that great in this one, but Case Keenum turned the ball over five times for Washington and set Trubisky and the Bears offense up with great field position multiple times. Trubisky threw a pair of short touchdowns to Taylor Gabriel before hitting Gabriel again for an acrobatic 36-yard score where Gabriel adjusted to a poorly-placed ball to beat Josh Norman for the score. Trubisky didn't have to do anything in the second half, but he also didn't play well with the Redskins threatening a comeback. Trubisky has done nothing as a runner through three games, either. He'll be a bottom-barrel QB2 next week against the Vikings.
NFL Betting Trends
The Vikings are 1-4 against the spread in their last five road games but are 11-4 against the number in their last 15 games played in the month of September.
The Bears are 7-1 against the spread in their last eight games versus divisional opponents and are 16-6-1 ATS in their last 23 home games.
The Vikings have been a terrible bet in this series, failing to cover in 13 of their last 16 trips to Solider Field and 0-4 against the number in their last four games versus the Bears overall. That said, while I don’t trust Kirk Cousins, I trust Trubisky even less. Trubisky has really struggled versus Minnesota, posting a 69.0 QBR while averaging 158.5 yards per game, with two touchdowns and three interceptions. He’s also completing less than 60-percent of his passes per contest versus the Vikings’ ferocious defense. The last time Minnesota was on the road against a divisional rival, Cousins threw a costly interception at Lambeau Field as the Packers were able to hang on to a 21-16 win as a 2.5-point favorite. Hopefully the Vikes will get enough out of Cooks so that they won’t need a big-time performance from Cousins.
NFL Week 4 Prediction: Minnesota Vikings +1.5