Cowboys vs. Saints SNF Prediction
The Sunday Night Football matchup features two NFC playoff contenders as the Saints host the Cowboys at 8:20 p.m. ET. Will the Cowboys stay undefeated with another win and cover or will the Saints pull off the small upset?
275 Dallas Cowboys (-2.5) at 276 New Orleans Saints (+2.5); O/U 47.5
8:20 p.m. ET, Sunday, September 29, 2019
Superdome, New Orleans, LA
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Cowboys are receiving 60% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
Dallas Cowboys Fantasy Spin
Cowboys RG Zack Martin (back) was removed from the Week 4 injury report. Martin is working through a back injury but it won't keep him out. Even at less than 100 percent, Martin's presence is a boost for Ezekiel Elliott's Week 4 matchup.
New Orleans Saints Fantasy Spin
Teddy Bridgewater completed 19-of-27 passes for 177 yards with two touchdowns while adding another 12 yards on three carries Sunday in New Orleans’ Week 3 victory over the Seahawks. The Saints kept a clean pocket for Teddy, who escaped without being sacked. New Orleans simplified the offense for Bridgewater, who spent much of the day either handing off to Alvin Kamara or dumping off on short screens and check-downs, often with Kamara on the receiving end. Bridgewater's first touchdown came on a well-blocked screen to Kamara, who tiptoed down the sideline for a breathtaking 29-yard score. He added to his haul in the third quarter, connecting with Michael Thomas on a goal-line touchdown to put New Orleans ahead 27-7. Bridgewater doesn't have a rocket arm but he's a competent game manager and more mobile than Drew Brees. There was some discussion of Taysom Hill seeing an increased role in Brees' absence, but that didn't materialize as he was afforded just four snaps. We'll see how Bridgewater handles the bright lights next week when the Saints host the undefeated Cowboys on Sunday Night Football.
NFL Betting Trends
The Cowboys are just 1-5 against the spread in their last six road games versus the Saints.
The home team is a perfect 4-0 against the spread in the last four meetings between these two teams while the underdog is 10-2 against the number in the last 12 meetings.
With Drew Brees out for the Saints, the Cowboys are arguably the better overall team but they also haven’t been tested yet. They hung at least 30 points on each of their first three opponents, but those opponents were the Eli Manning-led Giants in Week 1, the winless Redskins in Week 2 and the tanking Dolphins in Week 3. This will be Dak Prescott’s first trip to the Superdome, which figures to be deafening tonight with the Saints coming off a win over the Seahawks and the game in prime time. The Saints are also in a revenge spot after losing to the Cowboys 13-10 a year ago in Dallas, which was also a prime-time matchup. In that game, the ‘Boys shut down Alvin Kamara but with Sean Payton one of the better schemers and play-callers in the league, I’m banking on him having a counter for that athletic Dallas front seven this time around. There’s just too much value in the home dog on Sunday night.
NFL Week 4 Prediction: New Orleans Saints +2.5