Saints vs. Panthers Total Pick

NFL Week 3 Picks & Preview: Saints vs. Panthers betting total set too high?

Is the betting total in Sunday's matchup between the Saints and Panthers set too high?

Game Info

Who: Saints (0-2) at Panthers (2-0)

When: 1:00PM ET, Sunday, September 24

Where: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina

The Odds

According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Panthers are 5.5-point home favorites versus the Saints, who opened as 6-point road underdogs. As for the total, the number sits at 46.5 after opening at 49.

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NEW ORLEANS SAINTS BETTING TRENDS

The Saints have covered the spread in nine of their last 11 road games and are 9-2 against the number in their last 11 games against the NFC South, too. They're 5-0 at the betting window in their last five road games when playing a team with a winning home record as well. They're also 8-3 against the number in their last 11 games versus NFC opponents.

CAROLINA PANTHERS BETTING TRENDS

The Panthers have dropped four of their last five games against the spread when playing at home. They're just 1-5 at the betting window in their last six games against the NFC South as well and are winless at 0-5 against the spread in their last five games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.

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OUR PREDICTION: The under is 11-3 in the last 14 meetings between these two teams in Carolina and 3-1-1 in the Panthers' last five games versus NFC South rivals. Drew Brees can light up a scoreboard but historically speaking, New Orleans' offense has been more suppressed on the road than it has been at home. Plus, Carolina's defense looks outstanding the first two weeks of the season, while Cam Newton and Co. have struggled offensively. I think this total is too high.

 

NFL WEEK 3 PICK: SAINTS/PANTHERS UNDER 46.5

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