Falcons vs. Dolphins Free Pick

falcons dolphins nfl week 3 free picks predictions odds trends

MIAMI, FL (The Spread) – Will the Dolphins win their home opener and stay undefeated when they host the Falcons at 4:05PM ET today?

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NFL Odds: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Dolphins are 1-point favorites over the Falcons, while the over/under total is currently sitting at 44.5 points. Atlanta won and covered as a 6-point home favorite last Sunday versus St. Louis, while Miami won outright as a small underdog in Indianapolis.

Line Movement: The Falcons opened as a 1-point road underdog and that's where the line currently sits. As for the total, it opened at 43 but has been bet up to 44.5 points at most sports books both online and Vegas.

Public Betting: Of the wagers currently placed on this game, 82% of NFL public bettors currently favor the Falcons. This information is subject to change leading up to kickoff, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most up-to-date NFL public betting numbers.

NFL Free Pick: Take Miami. According to latest NFL trends, the Dolphins are 4-0 against the spread in their last four home games, 4-1 ATS in their last five games in September and 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall. The Falcons, meanwhile, are 1-4 against the spread in their last five games overall and 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS win.

Steven Jackson, Sean Weatherspoon and Kroy Biermann are all out for today, while Asante Samuel and Roddy White will both be limited due to injuries. With an inability to run the ball, the Falcons won't be able to sustain leads in the second half. The Dolphins have been highly impressive thus far winning two games on the road. Now they get the chance to win their third straight in their home opener today against a depleted Atlanta squad.

2013 NFL WEEK 3 FREE PICK: MIAMI DOLPHINS -1

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