Bucs vs. Patriots Free Pick

bucs patriots nfl week 3 free picks predictions odds trends totals

FOXBORO, MA (The Spread) – Will the Patriots stay undefeated on the young season when they host a Buccaneers team that is in turmoil today at 1:00PM ET?

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NFL Odds: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Patriots are 8.5-point favorites over the Bucs, while the over/under total is currently sitting at 43.5 points. Tampa Bay lost last Sunday to New Orleans but did cover as a 3-point home favorite, while New England won but failed to cover as 13-point favorite against the Jets.

Line Movement: The Patriots opened as a 9.5-point favorite but the spread has been bet down to 8.5 at most sports books. As for the total, it opened at 46.5 but has been bet down to 43.5.

Public Betting: Of the wagers currently placed on this game, 54% of NFL public bettors currently favor the Patriots. This information is subject to change leading up to kickoff, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most up-to-date NFL public betting numbers.

NFL Free Pick: Take Tampa Bay. According to latest NFL trends, the Bucs are 7-2 against the spread in their last nine road games, 5-2 ATS in their last seven games in Week 3, and 6-2 ATS in their last eight games in September. On the other side, the Patriots are 2-5 against the number in their last seven games overall and 1-4 ATS in their last five games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.

The Bucs have been a disaster on and off the field in the first two weeks of the season. There have been questions about Josh Freeman's leadership abilities and whether or not coach Greg Schiano is a fit. But one thing has been obvious in the first two weeks of the season: Tampa Bay's defense has been stellar and New England has struggled to move the ball without Rob Gronkowski. Even with their issues, the Bucs should cover today.

2013 NFL WEEK 3 FREE PICK: TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS +8.5

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