Bills vs. Jets Free Pick

bills jets nfl week 3 free picks predictions odds trends

EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ (The Spread) – It'll be a battle of rookie quarterbacks when E.J. Manuel and the Bills visit Geno Smith and the Jets at 4:25PM ET in a matchup of AFC East foes.

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NFL Odds: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Jets are 1-point favorites versus the Bills, while the over/under total is currently sitting at 38.5 points. Buffalo won outright as a small home underdog last Sunday versus Carolina, while New York lost but covered as a 13-point underdog versus New England.

Line Movement: The Jets opened as 2.5-point favorites but the line has been bet down to 1 at most sports books. As for the total, it opened at 39 and has been bet down to 38.5 points.

Public Betting: Of the wagers currently placed on this game, 75% of NFL public bettors currently favor the Bills. This information is subject to change leading up to kickoff, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most up-to-date NFL public betting numbers.

NFL Free Pick: Take the under. According to latest NFL trends, the under is 4-0 in the Bills' last four games versus AFC East opponents, 5-1 in their last six games versus AFC opponents, and 4-1 in their last five road games. The under is also 6-1 in the Jets' last seven games overall, 4-1 in their last five games versus the AFC, and 4-1 in their last five games following an ATS win.

With two rookie quarterbacks, including one in E.J. Manuel who will be making his first regular season road start of his career, this should be a low-scoring game. Geno Smith made a couple of nice throws last Thursday against the Patriots but all-in-all he remains a massive work in progress. With how good Rex Ryan's defense looks through two weeks, the combined score should fall well under.

2013 NFL WEEK 3 FREE PICK: BILLS/JETS UNDER 38.5

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