Vikings-Lions Free Pick
The Detroit Lions will have another shot at their first victory in over a year and a half when they host the Minnesota Vikings at Ford Field on Sunday at 1:00PM ET.
The Lions are now 0-17 in their last 17 games after they were thumped last week in New Orleans. In their 45-27 loss to the Saints, rookie quarterback Matthew Stafford threw for 205 yards and had a touchdown run, but he also tossed three interceptions. Receiver Calvin Johnson caught three passes for 90 yards as the Lions failed to cover the 13-point spread as underdogs.
The Vikings had more success in their opener than their counterparts on Sunday. Minnesota beat Cleveland 34-20 on the road last week to easily cover the 4.5-point spread as the favorite. Running back Adrian Peterson rushed for 180 yards and three touchdowns on 25 carries, while quarterback Brett Favre passed for 110 yards and a touchdown to rookie receiver Percy Harvin.
Oddsmakers from online sports book SBGGLOBAL.com have made the Vikings 10-point road favorites in their matchup with the Lions. The over/under total has been established at 45.
While it’s easy to cast aside the Lions and their brutal record over the last two years, don’t forget that this lowly franchise actually gave Minnesota fits last season. In their first meeting last year, the Vikings barely squeaked out a 12-10 win at Ford Field on October 12. Then in December, Detroit gave all Minnesota it could handle at the Metrodome, dropping a 20-16 decision.
The Lions are severely lacking talent on both sides of the ball, but 10 points is a lot to give a division opponent (even a division opponent like Detroit) on the road in their home opener. The Lions probably won’t win, but it’s not unfathomable to think that they’ll play inspired and keep the game close throughout.
We fully expect Peterson to control the game on the ground, which actually plays into the Lions favor. Minnesota doesn’t have much big-strike capabilities and as long as Stafford can limit the turnovers, the Lions are a good play at +10.
The total has gone under in 4 of Minnesota’s last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit, so we advise going with the under as well as the side play of the Lions.
Our NFL Free Picks for this Week 2 matchup are: DETROIT LIONS +10 and UNDER 45.
213 Minnesota Vikings –10 Over 45 Moneyline –550
214 Detroit Lions +10 Under 45 Moneyline +375
Minnesota is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing Detroit
Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Erin Henderson, LB, Out Week 2 (calf)
Heath Farwell, LB, Questionable Week 2 (hamstring)
Anthony Herrera, G, Probable Week 2 (back)
Jim Kleinsasser, TE, Probable Week 2 (hand)
Cliff Avril, DE, Doubtful Week 2 (hamstring)
Drew Stanton, QB, Doubtful Week 2 (knee)
Andre Fluellen, DT, Questionable Week 2 (knee)
Eric King, CB, Questionable Week 2 (shoulder)
Phillip Buchanon, CB,Probable Week 2 (neck)
Jason Hanson, K, Probable Week 2 (right knee)
Grady Jackson, DT, Probable Week 2 (knee)
William James, CB, Probable Week 2 (foot)
Daniel Loper, T, Probable Week 2 (knee)
Posted: 9/20/09 8:35AM ET