Bengals vs. Bills Total Prediction
The Bills will look to improve to 3-0 on the young season when they visit the Bengals at 1:00 p.m. ET on Sunday. With the total sitting at 44, clearly oddsmakers believe this will be a defensive struggle but is there value for bettors in the over?
467 Cincinnati Bengals (+6) at 468 Buffalo Bills (-6); O/U 44
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, September 22, 2019
New Era Field, Orchard Park, NY
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Bills are receiving 60% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
Cincinnati Bengals Fantasy Spin
Speaking last week, A.J. Green (ankle) said he expected to be sidelined longer than his publicly reported 6-8 week timetable. Green went down in the opening days of camp in late July. 6-8 weeks would have had him near a return now. Green said that won't be the case. "I don’t know where they got the 6-8 weeks from. It’s going to be longer than that," were Green's words last Wednesday. "It’s just one of those things that has to heal on its own. When I feel I’m healthy enough to play at the level I’m used to playing, I just want to make sure it’s at 100 percent." Contract-year Green sounds like someone who won't be taking the field until he is either 100 percent healthy, extended or both. Fantasy stashers should not count on Green playing in the month of September.
Buffalo Bills Fantasy Spin
Bills RB Devin Singletary (hamstring) didn't practice again Thursday. The Bills' rookie RB is trending towards missing the team's Week 3 matchup against the Bengals. Frank Gore should continue to work as the offense's early-down grinder regardless of Singletary's final status. T.J. Yeldon is the RB that could see a noticeable uptick in snaps, particularly on passing downs. Yeldon caught 55 passes for 487 yards and four touchdowns last season with the Jaguars.
NFL Betting Trends
The under is 4-1-2 in the Bengals’ last seven games overall.
The under is 4-1 in the Bills’ last five games overall dating back to last season.
At first glance, this would look like a matchup between a pair of limited offenses, but we have to factor in the defensive play of the Bengals when discussing the total. The 49ers racked up 571 yards of total offense versus the Bengals last week, which included 259 yards on the ground. It’s early, but Josh Allen has shown some improvement and should carve up a Cincinnati defense that again, was swiss cheese last week in its loss to San Francisco. The over is 7-2 in the last nine meetings between these two teams, is 6-1 in the Bengals’ last seven games played in the month of September and is 21-8 in the Bills’ last 29 home games.
NFL Week 3 Prediction: Bills/Bengals OVER 44