Jets vs. Browns Total Prediction
Week 3 of the NFL season will kick-off in Cleveland on Thursday night when the Browns host the New York Jets at 8:20 p.m. ET. Will the two teams struggle to produce enough points to push the combined score over the betting total?
8:20 p.m. ET, Thursday, September 20
FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland, OH
Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetNow.eu, the Browns are 3-point favorites to beat the Jets. The total, meanwhile, sits at 39 points. As of this writing, 64% of the public betting tickets are on the Browns to cover the point spread.
New York Jets
Sam Darnold completed 25-of-41 passes for 334 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions in the Jets' Week 2 loss to the Dolphins. Darnold averaged over eight yards per attempt for the second straight week, but his two picks were costly in a one-score game. The second wasn't necessarily Darnold's fault; Terrelle Pryor appeared to cut off his route in the back of the end zone, allowing Xavien Howard to catch it. Darnold also missed a would-be game-changing play when he overthrew wide-open Quincy Enunwa in the back of the end zone in the second half. Darnold will be a QB2 when the Jets visit Cleveland on Thursday Night Football in Week 3.
Jarvis Landry (knee) was limited in Monday's practice. It's a new issue for Landry, but we're not overly concerned. The Browns square off with the Jets on Thursday night this week. Landry should be out there.
NFL Betting Trends
The under is 5-0 in the Jets’ last five games versus a team with a losing record and is 4-0 in their last four games versus AFC opponents.
The under is 6-1 in the Browns’ last seven games played on Thursday and is 11-3 in their last 14 home games.
The Browns should have beaten the Saints last Sunday in New Orleans. They forced more turnovers and actually out-gained the Saints but a missed extra point late in the fourth quarter cost them an opportunity to earn their first victory since December of 2016. That said, the Browns are averaging 4.5 yards per play. That ranks 28th in the NFL. They’re not moving the ball efficiently enough on offense to take the over on Thursday night. The Jets have been better than the Browns in terms of yards per play at 5.8, but they had a lot of big plays in their Monday night victory over the Lions in Week 1. They came back to earth a week ago versus the Dolphins. I’m taking the under.
NFL Week 3 Prediction: Jets/Browns under 39