Chargers vs. Lions Total Prediction
The banged-up Chargers will head to Detroit on Sunday where they’ll visit the Lions at 1:00 p.m. ET. With the total moving from 47 up to 47.5, is the over a good play for bettors or is there move value in the under?
263 Los Angeles Chargers (-2.5) at 264 Detroit Lions (+2.5); O/U 47.5
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, September 15, 2019
Ford Field, Detroit, Michigan
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Chargers are receiving 69% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
Los Angeles Chargers Fantasy Spin
Chargers coach Anthony Lynn said the team is "hopeful" to get Hunter Henry (knee) back this season. Lynn made it clear the team wouldn't be placing Henry on injured reserve, leaving the option open for him to return late in the year. It only took eight months for Henry to recover from a torn ACL and play 14 snaps in Los Angeles' Divisional Round game against the Patriots last season, but he also wasn't dealt a season-ending injury the year prior. ESPN's Adam Schefter reported Henry's facing a 4-6 week absence, so it's possible the 24-year-old does return sooner than expected. Austin Ekeler's the primary offensive beneficiary while Henry recovers.
Detroit Lions Fantasy Spin
Matthew Stafford completed 27-of-45 passes for 385 yards and three touchdowns in the Lions' 27-27, Week 1 tie with the Cardinals. Stafford was aided by overtime, but his 385 yards were 38 more than he managed in any 2018 start. Stafford couldn't make a play when it mattered most late in the fourth quarter and overtime, but he was dealing early, and found first-rounder T.J. Hockenson for a scintillating 6/131/1. Fellow newcomer Danny Amendola also went 7/104/1. Of course, the eruption was almost certainly a one off against one of the league's worst defenses. Although shootout conditions could once again develop against the Chargers in Week 2, Stafford will firmly remain a QB2.
NFL Betting Trends
The under is 35-16-1 in the Chargers’ last 52 games following a straight up win.
The under is 7-0 in the Lions’ last seven games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
The under has been a great play in Detroit games dating back to last season, cashing in seven of the Lions’ last eight games overall. The under is also a perfect 5-0 in the Lions’ last five home games and is 5-1 in their last six games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous contest. On the other side, the under is 7-2 in the Chargers’ last nine games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous contest and is 4-1 in their last five games when facing an opponent with a losing record.
NFL Week 2 Prediction: Chargers/Lions UNDER 47.5