Bills vs. Jets Over/Under Prediction

Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets, 9/6/19 Week 1 Predictions

AFC East rivals meet in East Rutherford on Sunday when the Jets host the Bills at 1:00 p.m. ET. With the total climbing nearly two full points off the opening number, is the over a sneaky play for bettors in this matchup?

Game Snapshot

457 Buffalo Bills (+2.5) at 458 New York Jets (-2.5); O/U 40.5

1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, September 8

MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ

Public Betting Trends

According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Jets are receiving 56% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.

Buffalo Bills Fantasy Spin

Bills OC Brian Daboll told reporters Thursday that each of Frank Gore, Devin Singletary and T.J. Yeldon will have roles in the offense this season. Specifically, Daboll stated, "They'll all have roles, which may be defined by what they can on a week to week basis." Rookie Devin Singletary is expected to split early-down work with Frank Gore, while T.J. Yeldon should take up a lot of the work on pass downs. It's a low-ceiling situation for all three backs, especially after considering Josh Allen's penchant for both scrambling and consistently throwing downfield.

New York Jets Fantasy Spin

Coach Adam Gase told reporters Thursday that Robby Anderson looks good and is ready to roll for the Jets' Week 1 matchup against the Bills. Anderson was officially "limited" in practice. The larger issue for Anderson is an expected shadow date with stud CB Tre'Davious White, who should already be on anyone’s short list of the league’s best overall CBs after ranking among the league’s top-two corners in average target separation, burn rate and fantasy points allowed per cover snap last season (Player Profiler). Anderson won his last shadow matchup against White to the tune of a 4-76-1 performance on seven targets, but the entire Jets' WR group will have their hands full with a Bills’ secondary that joined the Vikings, Jaguars and Colts as the only defenses in the league to allow fewer than 30 DraftKings PPG to the WR position last season.

NFL Betting Trends


The under is 6-1 in the Bills’ last seven road games and is 5-1 in their last six games in Week 1.

New York

The over is 6-1 in the Jets’ last seven home games and is 4-1 in their last five games overall.


Even though the matchup doesn’t scream “shootout” on paper, this is still a sneaky-good over play for bettors in Week 1. For starters, the over is 7-2 in the last nine meetings between these two teams in East Rutherford. The Jets took some heat in hiring Adam Gase, but he’ll do a good job featuring more bootlegs and rollouts to highlight Sam Darnold’s ability to throw when on the move. Le’Veon Bell also gives this team an added dimension in the running game that it didn’t have last season and Anderson is that speed threat on the outside. Meanwhile, the Jets’ run defense will be a problem for the Bills’ new-look running game, but New York can be had through the air. Defensively for Buffalo, the Bills don’t have much of a pass rush so I expect both teams to eventually put the ball in the air a ton, leading to stopped clocks and possibly big scoring plays.

NFL Week 1 Prediction: Bills/Jets OVER 40.5

Recent NFL Discussions

Hey Timmy, on Wed, Jun 2020 by Surfer
Live nascar racing on Sun, May 2020 by armyranger
Newsletters For The Week Of 5/15/20 on Sat, May 2020 by Shazman
Anypne betting sims? on Thu, May 2020 by danshan11
Hangin on Thu, May 2020 by Surfer

NFL Predictions & Picks

Thumbnail Will Love Selection Spur Rodgers in GB? The Green Bay Packers dropped a huge hint over the future of quarterback Aaron Rodgers by picking Jordan Love in the 2020 Draft. The 36-year-old has been...
Thumbnail Eagles bring in Darius Slay The Philadelphia Eagles addressed a need in the secondary on Thursday morning by trading for Darius Slay. How does it impact their Super Bowl odds?
Thumbnail AFC East Predictions: Pats Still Best Bet? Despite losing Tom Brady, are the Patriots still the best bet to win the AFC East in 2020-21? Or has the Bills surpassed New England as the new king? Let’s examine...
Thumbnail Saints, 49ers Top Teams to Win NFC? Despite Tom Brady joining the NFC South, are the New Orleans Saints still the team to beat, not only in that division, but the entire conference? At least one...
Thumbnail Updated AFC Championship Odds With Tom Brady no longer wreaking havoc in the conference, are the Chiefs the clear favorites to win the AFC title again next season? What about the Ravens, who earned...

NFL Headlines