NFL Passing Yards Prop Pick

2016 NFL Season Passing Yards Prop Odds Prediction

Drew Brees is favored to lead the NFL in passing this upcoming season but is there a better value on the board?

According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, Brees is a 5/1 favorite to lead the NFL in passing yards in the 2016-17 NFL season. Ben Roethlisberger has the next-best odds at 6/1, while Phillip Rivers is 7/1 and Matt Ryan is 9/1. Eli Manning is also 9/1, while Aaron Rodgers is 10/1 and Carson Palmer is 11/1.

Bet 2016-17 NFL Prop Odds

Continuing with the odds, Andrew Luck is 12/1 to lead the NFL in passing yards this season while Matt Stafford is 16/1. Kirk COusins and Derek Carr are both 25/1, repsectively, while Joe Flacco, Andy Dalton, Blake Bortles and Tony Romo are all 33/1, espectively. Ryan Tannehill, Brock Osweiler and Jay Cutler are all 40/1, respectively.

Some of the mid-range long shots are Tom Brady, Russell Wilson, Jameis Winston and Cam Newton, who are all 50/1, respectively. The true long shots are Marcus Mariota, Sam Bradford, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Teddy Bridgewater, Tyrod Taylor and Alex Smith, who are all 75/1, respectively. The two quarterbacks with the longest odds to lead the league in passing yards are Robert Griffin III and Jared Goff, who are both 100/1, respectively.

OUR PICK: When it comes to projecting which signal-caller will lead the NFL in passing yards this season, is there a better value than Brees? No. He should throw for at least 4,900 yards and no other quarterback will come close to that amount. Roethlisberger should throw for 4,770-plus yards and Ryan is capable of throwing for over 4,600 yards, but if Brees stays healthy then he will lead the NFL in passing.

 

2016 NFL PASSING YARDS LEADER FREE PICK: DREW BREES 5/1

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