Matt Ryan SB51 Prop Odds & Pick
How many yards and completions will Matt Ryan finish with in Super Bowl 51?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Patriots remain 3-point favorites over the Falcons for Super Bowl Sunday, while the over/under currently sits at 58.5 points. As of this writing, neither the side nor the total have moved off the original numbers posted by oddsmakers.
Bovada.lv has also released prop odds for Ryan, who has an over/under of 26.5 for number of total completions in Super Bowl 51. The over/under for total pass attempts for Ryan is 38.5, while the over/under for total passing yards is 324.5. The over/under for how many touchdown passes Ryan will throw for range from 2 to 3.5.
There are other individual prop odds centered on Ryan, including whether or not his first pass will be a completion (4/9) or an incompletion/interception (9/5). He also has odds of 5/6 to throw an interception and whether or not he'll throw for more yards in the first half (23/20) or second half (20/29).
What kind of stats will Ryan accumulate tonight in Super Bowl 51? Here are our picks.
Matt Ryan UNDER 26.5 Pass Completions
Ryan should get close to that number but he averaged 23.31 pass completions per game in the regular seasons so we believe he'll fall short of the 26.5 number tonight. The Patriots' defense will likely concentrate on Julio Jones and limit the damage that Ryan creates in the passing game.
Matt Ryan OVER 38.5 Pass Attempts
If the Falcons fall behind, then Ryan will need to put the ball in the air plenty. If the game turns into a blowout, then he may wind up finishing with 40-plus passing attempts. We don't think the game will get away from the Falcons, but the Patriots have an excellent run defense and that too could force Ryan and the Falcons to put the ball in the air plenty tonight.
Matt Ryan UNDER 324.5 Passing Yards
Ryan averaged 309.0 passing yards per game during the regular season and we like him to finish somewhere between 315-320 passing yards, falling just short of the 324.5 number. Atlanta center Alex Mack is banged up and if he leaves the game early because the pain is too much, it could throw off the entire Atlanta offense.