Best Rams Player Prop Odds for SB53

Rams Player Prop Best Bets, 2/2/19 Super Bowl 53 Betting Predictions

On Sunday the L.A. Rams will take on the New England Patriots in Super Bowl 53. We have compiled what we think are the best bets for Rams players when it comes to some of their prop bets for Super Bowl Sunday.

Game Snapshot

101 New England Patriots at 102 Los Angeles Rams

6:30 p.m. ET, Sunday, February 3, 2019

Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia

Public Betting Trends

According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetNow.eu, the Patriots are 2.5-point favorites to beat the Rams. The total, meanwhile, sits at 56.5 points. As of this writing, 76% of the public betting tickets are on the Patriots to cover the point spread.

Jared Goff: Total Pass Attempts over 38.5

How do you see this game playing out for the Rams? The answer to that question will help you when it comes to Goff’s passing attempts. Against Dallas in the Divisional round, Goff attempted only 28 pass attempts but that’s because Todd Gurley and C.J. Anderson tore the Cowboys defense up on the ground. Goff wasn’t needed outside of a handful of throws. That said, against New Orleans in the NFC Championship, Goff attempted 40 passes as Gurley was banged-up and Anderson was ineffective against a very good Saints run defense. I see Super Bowl 53 playing out more like the NFC Championship Game than the Rams’ Divisional round matchup versus the Cowboys. And thus, I see Goff needing to put the ball in the air plenty versus the Patriots.

Todd Gurley: Longest Rush from Scrimmage under 19.5 (-140)

First of all, nobody knows if Gurley is actually healthy. He looked good against the Cowboys in the Divisional round but was on a snap count because he reportedly needed to get his conditioning back up to normal. Then he spent most of the NFC Championship Game on the sidelines watching C.J. Anderson receive 16 carries. While he called his performance “sorry” and that’s why Anderson was the team’s lead back, nobody should be buying what Gurley’s selling. The knee injury that hampered him late in the year is probably a bigger deal than what he and the Rams are letting on. Granted, with two weeks off, Gurley could look like his normal self and become a big part of the Ram’s game plan. Even then, I don’t expect him to be ripping off long runs like he did against the Cowboys in the Divisional round.

C.J. Anderson: Total Rushing Attempts Over 10.5 (-115)

Whether Gurley is 100% or not, Anderson has carved out a role for himself in Sean McVay’s offense. He carried the ball 16 times for 44 yards versus the Saints in the NFC title game and went off for 123 yards and two touchdowns on 23 attempts versus the Cowboys in the Divisional round. Since signing the former Bronco and Dolphin, the Rams have allowed Anderson to carry the ball no less than 16 times in his four games with L.A.

Brandin Cooks: Total Receiving Yards under 74.5 (-120)

Bill Belichick is the master of taking away at least one of his opponent’s assets offensively. After essentially taking Tyreek Hill out of the Chiefs’ offense in the AFC Championship, I predict he’ll do the same thing to the Rams on Sunday when it comes to Cooks. As Belichick knows since Cooks was a Patriot last year, he can burn teams deep. Cooks recorded 107 receiving yards against New Orleans but just 65 versus Dallas. In his last seven games including playoffs, Cooks has gone over 70 yards receiving just once: The game against the Saints. Since Cooper Kupp went out with a torn ACL, Cooks has been targeted more in the short passing game.

Robert Woods: Total Receptions over 5.5 (-160)

If I believe Belichick will take Cooks out of the Rams’ game plan and Gurley is banged-up, then the ever-consistent Woods should benefit. He caught six passes apiece versus the Cowboys and Saints in the playoffs and I envision him catching at least that many passes on Super Bowl Sunday. He could become Goff’s go-to receiver.

Josh Reynolds: Total Receptions over 3.5 (-110)

Taking over for Kupp in the slot, Reynolds emerged as a boom-or-bust fantasy player in the second half of the season. His sporadic play carried into the postseason, as he caught four passes on seven targets for 74 yards against the Saints in the NFC title game, but was held to just one catch on four targets for 19 yards against the Cowboys in the Divisional round. Here’s my line of thinking for Reynolds: If Gurley isn’t 100% then the Rams will need to rely on their passing game. And if Gurley isn’t 100% and Belichick focuses on containing Cooks, then Reynolds should see another 5-7 targets against the Pats. In that target range, I like Reynolds to catch at least four passes.

Gerald Everett: Total Receptions under 2.5 (-140)

I don’t expect Everett or fellow tight end Tyler Higbee to see more than four targets apiece against the Pats. If I’m right, then I like Everett to catch only one or two passes. The reason why I’m avoiding Higbee is that he did see four targets against the Saints in the NFC Championship and he caught all four of those passes. Perhaps Sean McVay will get Higbee more involved in the game plan this weekend. He’s the better bet out of the Rams’ tight ends to have a decent game, thus I’m essentially fading Everett here.

Jared Goff: Total Pass Attempts over 38.5

How do you see this game playing out for the Rams? The answer to that question will help you when it comes to Goff’s passing attempts. Against Dallas in the Divisional round, Goff attempted only 28 pass attempts but that’s because Todd Gurley and C.J. Anderson tore the Cowboys defense up on the ground. Goff wasn’t needed outside of a handful of throws. That said, against New Orleans in the NFC Championship, Goff attempted 40 passes as Gurley was banged-up and Anderson was ineffective against a very good Saints run defense. I see Super Bowl 53 playing out more like the NFC Championship Game than the Rams’ Divisional round matchup versus the Cowboys. And thus, I see Goff needing to put the ball in the air plenty versus the Patriots.

Todd Gurley: Longest Rush from Scrimmage under 19.5 (-140)

First of all, nobody knows if Gurley is actually healthy. He looked good against the Cowboys in the Divisional round but was on a snap count because he reportedly needed to get his conditioning back up to normal. Then he spent most of the NFC Championship Game on the sidelines watching C.J. Anderson receive 16 carries. While he called his performance “sorry” and that’s why Anderson was the team’s lead back, nobody should be buying what Gurley’s selling. The knee injury that hampered him late in the year is probably a bigger deal than what he and the Rams are letting on. Granted, with two weeks off, Gurley could look like his normal self and become a big part of the Ram’s game plan. Even then, I don’t expect him to be ripping off long runs like he did against the Cowboys in the Divisional round.

C.J. Anderson: Total Rushing Attempts Over 10.5 (-115)

Whether Gurley is 100% or not, Anderson has carved out a role for himself in Sean McVay’s offense. He carried the ball 16 times for 44 yards versus the Saints in the NFC title game and went off for 123 yards and two touchdowns on 23 attempts versus the Cowboys in the Divisional round. Since signing the former Bronco and Dolphin, the Rams have allowed Anderson to carry the ball no less than 16 times in his four games with L.A.

Brandin Cooks: Total Receiving Yards under 74.5 (-120)

Bill Belichick is the master of taking away at least one of his opponent’s assets offensively. After essentially taking Tyreek Hill out of the Chiefs’ offense in the AFC Championship, I predict he’ll do the same thing to the Rams on Sunday when it comes to Cooks. As Belichick knows since Cooks was a Patriot last year, he can burn teams deep. Cooks recorded 107 receiving yards against New Orleans but just 65 versus Dallas. In his last seven games including playoffs, Cooks has gone over 70 yards receiving just once: The game against the Saints. Since Cooper Kupp went out with a torn ACL, Cooks has been targeted more in the short passing game.

Robert Woods: Total Receptions over 5.5 (-160)

If I believe Belichick will take Cooks out of the Rams’ game plan and Gurley is banged-up, then the ever-consistent Woods should benefit. He caught six passes apiece versus the Cowboys and Saints in the playoffs and I envision him catching at least that many passes on Super Bowl Sunday. He could become Goff’s go-to receiver.

Josh Reynolds: Total Receptions over 3.5 (-110)

Taking over for Kupp in the slot, Reynolds emerged as a boom-or-bust fantasy player in the second half of the season. His sporadic play carried into the postseason, as he caught four passes on seven targets for 74 yards against the Saints in the NFC title game, but was held to just one catch on four targets for 19 yards against the Cowboys in the Divisional round. Here’s my line of thinking for Reynolds: If Gurley isn’t 100% then the Rams will need to rely on their passing game. And if Gurley isn’t 100% and Belichick focuses on containing Cooks, then Reynolds should see another 5-7 targets against the Pats. In that target range, I like Reynolds to catch at least four passes.

Gerald Everett: Total Receptions under 2.5 (-140)

I don’t expect Everett or fellow tight end Tyler Higbee to see more than four targets apiece against the Pats. If I’m right, then I like Everett to catch only one or two passes. The reason why I’m avoiding Higbee is that he did see four targets against the Saints in the NFC Championship and he caught all four of those passes. Perhaps Sean McVay will get Higbee more involved in the game plan this weekend. He’s the better bet out of the Rams’ tight ends to have a decent game, thus I’m essentially fading Everett here.

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