Sammy Watkins SB54 Prop Predictions

Chiefs vs. 49ers Super Bowl 54, 1/28/20 Sammy Watkins Prop Predictions

What are the best prop plays for Chiefs receiver Sammy Watkins on Sunday? Here are some Super Bowl 54 prop predictions centered on Watkins, who will take on the 49ers in Miami Gardens.

Game Snapshot

101 San Francisco 49ers (+1) vs. 102 Kansas City Chiefs (-1); o/u 54.5

6:30 p.m. ET, Sunday, February 2

Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL

Public Betting Trends

According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Chiefs are receiving 59% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.

Sammy Watkins Super Bowl 54 Prop Predictions

Watkins caught seven of 10 targets for 114 yards and one touchdown in the Chiefs’ victory over the Titans in the AFC Championship Game. His 60-yard reception essentially punched Kansas City’s ticket to Super Bowl 54 and was Watkins’ first touchdown since Week 1. He torched Tennessee on one drive, catching three passes for 78 yards and a touchdown as the Titans concentrated on Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill.

Watkins’ big game against the Titans opens us up to fade him in the Super Bowl. For example, his over/under for receptions has been set at 4 ½. Throw out the 7-catch performance against the Titans and Watkins hasn’t caught more than four passes in a single game since Week 10 against…wait for it…the Titans. He did have seven catches against the Vikings in Week 9 and five versus the Packers in Week 8 but his reception totals were 0, 4, 3, 2 and 1 from Week 13 through Week 17. Even though Kansas City scored 51 points versus Houston in the Wild Card round, Watkins only managed two receptions versus the Texans. I like the under 4.5.

Meanwhile, his receiving yards have been set at over/under 67.5. Again, this total looks inflated because of what he did against the Titans in the AFC title game. Watkins went over 67.5 yards only once during the regular season. Do you know when that game occurred? Week 1. There’s tremendous value in taking the under in this spot, too.

Finally, while I’m banking on a dud performance out of Watkins on Sunday, I might as well throw in a “no” for his touchdown prop. There’s little to no value in -180 odds, but might as well go for the trifecta.

Sammy Watkins Super Bowl 54 Prop Predictions

UNDER 4.5 Receptions (-120)

UNDER 67.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

“No” on Touchdowns (-180)

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